The Oil & Gas Value Chain: World Oil & Gas Basins (2026)
Data as of 17 September 2026. How basins are classified — resource class, reservoir, hydrocarbon window, crude quality, extraction method and fiscal regime — is evergreen and is this guide’s spine. Production, reserves, assay and cost figures are dated benchmarks (mostly 2025, sourced beneath each table) to re-source before use; Middle East rows are 2025 baselines that predate the 2026 Hormuz disruption (Section 6.3). The guide is refreshed annually, after the mid-year OPEC and Energy Institute statistical releases. Section 10’s two producers are hypothetical illustrations. This report is for information only and was prepared with AI assistance — see the disclaimer at the end.
Every exploration-and-production (E&P) company you can buy is, underneath the ticker, a portfolio of acreage in oil and gas basins — and the basin decides almost everything that matters: whether the barrels come out as light sweet crude, sour medium crude, tar-like bitumen or dry gas, how they are extracted, what they cost, how fast they decline and who else takes a share of the revenue. That is why an annual report carves a producer into basins, and why a serious energy investor learns to read a company the way a geologist reads a map. This guide is that map for the whole world: North America in depth, then South America, Europe and the Caspian, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific, each basin described with the same set of deposit parameters. For the company-level data behind every basin — each producer screened by production, reserves, netback and cost — go to Metal Pilot’s upstream oil & gas stock screener.
The headline: the world’s oil sits in a few dozen basins that could not be more different — a Saudi carbonate that flows on its own pressure for a few dollars a barrel, a Texas shale that must be fractured well by well, a Venezuelan extra-heavy crude that has to be diluted before it moves, and a Brazilian carbonate under two kilometres of salt and two kilometres of water all feed the same global price.
The Oil & Gas Value Chain series. Part 1: Upstream · Part 2: Midstream · Part 3: Downstream · Part 4: Oilfield Services · Companion: World Oil & Gas Basins · Supplement: Oil Sands
TL;DR & Key Takeaways
- The basin is the unit. A barrel’s value, cost and decline come from its basin’s resource class, reservoir, hydrocarbon window, crude quality and extraction method — so filings report acreage by basin.
- Oil concentrates in a handful of super-basins. The Middle East holds about 55% of the world’s proved crude reserves (OPEC, end-2025); the Permian alone pumps 6.6 MMbbl/d, 48% of US crude; West Siberia, Alberta’s oil sands and Brazil’s pre-salt complete the top tier.
- Crude quality is geology, and it is permanent. Basin crudes run from Bakken’s 44° API, 0.08% sulphur light sweet to Western Canadian Select’s 21°, 3.7% heavy sour and Venezuela’s diluted 16° Merey — a gap no efficiency programme can close.
- The extraction method sets the cost architecture — on a stated basis. Gulf supergiant fields lift existing barrels for about $3.5/boe (Aramco, 2025) and pre-salt floating production vessels (FPSOs) for about $4/boe excluding leases (about $7 with them); a new US shale well needs $65–67/bbl WTI to break even; thermal and extra-heavy projects need the most up-front capital. Never rank running costs and breakevens together.
- Growth and decline sit in different places. Guyana passed 900 kbbl/d six years after first oil, Brazil set a 3.77 MMbbl/d record and Vaca Muerta is the only shale-oil play at scale outside North America; the UK North Sea, Cantarell, Daqing and Burgan manage decline.
- Above ground often decides more than rock. State ownership, the fiscal regime, sanctions (Russia, Iran, Venezuela), security (Libya, Nigeria) and chokepoints such as Hormuz can outweigh geology.
New to upstream? Read straight through from Section 1. Here for one region? Jump to Sections 3–8 — each opens with a deposit-characteristics table and a production-and-economics table. Want the investor’s angle? Sections 9 and 10. Every term is defined in the Vocabulary (Section 12).
1. Why the basin is the unit that matters
A barrel of oil is not a barrel of oil. Bakken crude is a light, sweet stream that refines into fuel with little work and prices near WTI (West Texas Intermediate, the US light sweet benchmark); Alberta bitumen must be diluted just to flow through a pipe and sells at a steep discount; a barrel from Ghawar costs a few dollars to keep flowing, while a new Permian well needs oil in the mid-$60s just to pay for itself — two different cost measures (Section 2), but a gap no operator can close. None of that comes from the company. It comes from the basin — the bowl of sedimentary rock where organic matter was buried, cooked and trapped over tens of millions of years.
Three basin traits do most of the work. The hydrocarbon window — how deep and hot the source rock got — decides whether it made oil, condensate or dry gas; the heaviest crudes are usually oil that later migrated to a shallow, cool margin where bacteria ate its light molecules (Section 4.1). The reservoir and resource class decide whether the hydrocarbons flow to an ordinary well (conventional) or must be fractured, heated, diluted or mined out (unconventional). And maturity and access — pipelines, fiscal terms, politics — decide how much of the barrel’s value reaches the producer.
The resulting map is concentrated: a handful of provinces — the Middle East’s Arabian Basin and Zagros fold belt, the Permian, West Siberia, the Alberta oil sands and Brazil’s pre-salt — carry a disproportionate share of output and reserves, which is why a disruption in one basin can move the global price.
Figure 1. World oil & gas basins at a glance
Figure data: Permian per U.S. EIA, March 2026; Middle East reserve share and Venezuela’s reserves per the OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2026 (end-2025, crude only — OPEC excludes Canada’s oil sands); Brazil per the ANP December 2025 production bulletin (3.770 MMbbl/d; pre-salt 79.63% of output in oil equivalent); Guyana per ExxonMobil, November 2025; Vaca Muerta per Argentina’s Secretaría de Energía data as compiled by Río Negro (approximate); Aramco per its 2025 results; Norway per the Norwegian Offshore Directorate, with “the highest level of production since 2009” per its The Shelf in 2025. A lifting cost is not a breakeven — Section 9 explains the difference.
2. How to read a basin
A filing slices basins four ways: onshore vs. offshore (a shale well drilled in weeks against a deepwater project that commits billions years before first oil); conventional vs. unconventional, as defined in Part 1: Upstream, “Conventional vs unconventional”; the hydrocarbon window, which decides whether a producer is really exposed to oil or natural gas; and the reserves category (proved, probable, possible), which only compares like with like on the same basis.
This guide adds the parameters that make one basin different from another (Table 1). They are the columns of every regional table: the first half describes the deposit, the second how it is produced, on what terms and at what cost.
Table 1. The deposit parameters used in every basin table
| Parameter | What it records | Classes used in this guide | Why an investor cares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Setting | Onshore, shallow water or deep water, with typical water depth | Onshore · shelf · deepwater · ultra-deep (thresholds vary by source, commonly ~400 m and ~1,500 m) | Water depth drives capital intensity, lead time and the production system |
| Resource class | Whether an ordinary well can drain the reservoir | Conventional · tight/shale · coal-seam gas · heavy/extra-heavy · oil sands | Sets the decline curve and whether output is short-cycle or long-cycle |
| Reservoir & age | The rock that holds the hydrocarbons and its geological period | Sandstone · carbonate · chalk · shale · coal · fractured basement | Porosity and permeability decide well rates and the recovery factor |
| Trap | What holds the hydrocarbons in place | Anticline · fault block · salt · stratigraphic · continuous (no trap) | Discrete fields to find vs. a continuous resource to manufacture |
| Hydrocarbon window | What the basin yields | Extra-heavy · heavy · black oil · light oil · condensate · wet gas · dry gas | Decides the product mix and which price a producer earns |
| API gravity | Crude density on the industry scale (higher is lighter) | Light >~30° · medium 22–30° · heavy 10–22° · extra-heavy <10° | Lighter crude yields more fuel per barrel and earns more |
| Sulphur | Sulphur content by weight | Sweet <~0.5% · sour above | Sour crude pays a refining penalty and needs sour-service equipment |
| Extraction method | How the hydrocarbons are brought to surface | Natural flow · waterflood · gas injection · enhanced oil recovery (EOR: CO₂, steam, polymer, nitrogen) · horizontal + fracturing · mining · steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) / cyclic steam (CSS) · cold production with diluent · coal-seam dewatering | The method is the cost structure — and it names the line in a filing |
| Production system | The surface or seabed facility | Onshore pads · fixed platform · gravity-base structure · TLP/spar/semi-submersible · FPSO · FLNG · artificial island · subsea tieback | Decides capital, operating cost and decommissioning liability |
| Decline profile | How fast output falls without new investment | Steep (shale) · moderate (deepwater) · slow (supergiant fields, > ~5 bn bbl recoverable) · flat (oil sands) | Sets the maintenance capital needed just to stand still |
| Fiscal regime | The legal terms of extraction | Concession (royalty & tax) · production-sharing contract · service contract | Decides how much of each barrel’s value the producer keeps |
| Cost indicator | What a published per-barrel cost includes | Lifting cost · all-in cost · half-cycle breakeven · full-cycle breakeven | Only figures on the same basis can be ranked — Section 9 |
Source: resource classes, API and sulphur bands, recovery methods, offshore systems and fiscal regimes as defined in The Oil & Gas Value Chain, Part 1: Upstream, “The product slate & crude quality”, “Conventional vs unconventional”, “Offshore production systems” and “Fiscal regimes”; decline categories per the IEA, which puts average post-peak decline at 2.7% a year for supergiant conventional oil fields, 4.2% for onshore fields and 10.3% for deep offshore fields, and finds tight oil and shale gas output would fall more than 35% within 12 months without new investment. The bands are industry conventions, not standards.
The last row matters most for the regional tables, whose cost column mixes bases: a lifting cost keeps existing wells flowing; an all-in cost adds depreciation, non-income taxes and overheads; a half-cycle breakeven is the oil price that keeps existing wells or plants running, counting diluent, transport and quality discounts where they apply; a full-cycle breakeven adds the capital of a new well or project. Only like ranks with like.
Crude quality is the parameter investors most often skip, and the one that never changes. Figure 2 plots eleven basin crudes on the two quality axes. The shaded corner is light sweet — above 30° API, below 0.5% sulphur — where Bakken and Brent, the North Sea benchmark, sit; moving right costs a refiner sulphur removal, moving down costs coking and diluent, and the heavy sour corner of WCS, Maya and Merey is bid for only by deep-conversion refineries. Indonesia’s Duri shows the axes are independent: heavy does not have to mean sour.
Figure 2. Crude quality of benchmark basin crudes — API gravity vs sulphur
Figure data: Bakken per the ExxonMobil crude assays; Brent, Johan Sverdrup and Urals per the S&P Global Platts EMEA crude specifications, August 2026; Murban per U.S. EIA (Platts data), July 2026; Arab Light per S&P Global; Basrah Medium per Iraq’s SOMO specification as reported by S&P Global, 2020; Duri per the S&P Global Platts Asia Pacific crude specifications, August 2026; Western Canadian Select five-year average per CrudeMonitor; Maya and Merey 16 per the S&P Global Platts Americas crude specifications, July 2026. Shaded zone: light sweet, above 30° API and below 0.5% sulphur. Values are blend specifications or assay averages; cargoes vary.
Units used throughout. Oil and liquids in MMbbl/d (million barrels per day) or kbbl/d (thousand); natural gas flow in Bcf/d (billion cubic feet per day) and gas reserves in Tcf (trillion cubic feet); liquefied natural gas capacity in Mtpa (million tonnes per annum); combined output in boe/d (barrels of oil equivalent, gas at 6 Mcf — thousand cubic feet — ≈ 1 bbl); gas prices in $/MMBtu (per million British thermal units, roughly a thousand cubic feet); and NGLs are natural gas liquids — ethane, propane and butane separated from wet gas. Chinese and some Russian sources report in tonnes, converted here at ~7.3 barrels per tonne, and gas reported in cubic metres is converted at 35.3 cubic feet per cubic metre. Production is a flow; reserves are a stock. All dollar figures are US dollars unless written C$ or A$, and £ is pounds sterling.
Sections 3–8 apply Table 1 region by region: each opens with a deposit-characteristics table and a production-and-economics table, then notes on the basins that matter most.
3. North America
North America — the United States, Canada and Mexico — is where the shale revolution happened and has the widest spread of deposit types in one market: stacked shale, tight siltstone, the world’s largest bitumen accumulation, the deepwater salt basins of the Gulf of America (the Gulf of Mexico in non-US usage) and ageing shallow-water carbonate giants. Everywhere except Mexico sits under concession terms, so North American reserves are barrels the producer owns.
Table 2. North American onshore basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin / play | Country · region | Resource class | Reservoir & age | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Permian (Midland + Delaware) | US · W. Texas, SE New Mexico | Unconventional stacked tight/shale; legacy conventional | Permian Wolfcamp, Spraberry and Bone Spring shale, carbonate and siltstone benches; San Andres carbonates | Light oil + associated gas | WTI light sweet, 37–42° · ≤0.42% (delivery specification) | Horizontal wells + multistage fracturing from multi-well pads; waterflood and CO₂ EOR on the Central Basin Platform |
| Bakken / Three Forks (Williston) | US · North Dakota, Montana | Unconventional tight oil | Late Devonian–Early Mississippian dolomitic siltstone between organic shales | Light sweet oil | Bakken 44.0° · 0.08% | Horizontal + fracturing; pipeline and rail takeaway |
| Eagle Ford | US · South Texas | Unconventional shale | Late Cretaceous calcareous mudstone (marl), 4,000–12,000 ft | Oil updip → condensate → dry gas down-dip | Light sweet & condensate, ~40–55° · low | Horizontal + fracturing |
| DJ (Niobrara–Codell) | US · NE Colorado | Unconventional | Late Cretaceous Niobrara chalk and marl, Codell sandstone | Light oil + associated gas | Light sweet, ~40–50° · low | Horizontal wells from large multi-well pads |
| Uinta | US · NE Utah | Tight + conventional | Eocene lake-bed Green River and Wasatch formations | Waxy black and yellow oil | Waxy, low sulphur — near-solid at room temperature | Vertical and horizontal wells; heated trucks and rail |
| Anadarko (SCOOP/STACK) | US · Oklahoma | Unconventional stacked | Devonian–Mississippian Woodford shale, Meramec siltstone | Oil, condensate, wet & dry gas | Light sweet & condensate, ~40–55° · low | Horizontal + fracturing; over-pressured |
| Powder River | US · NE Wyoming | Unconventional + conventional | Cretaceous Niobrara, Mowry, Turner and Parkman benches; Tertiary coals | Light oil + gas; coalbed methane | Light sweet | Horizontal + fracturing; coalbed methane by dewatering |
| Gulf Coast onshore (Austin Chalk, Cotton Valley, TMS) | US · TX, LA, MS | Conventional + unconventional | Late Cretaceous fractured Austin Chalk; Jurassic Cotton Valley sands | Oil & gas | Light sweet | Horizontal re-development of fractured chalk |
| Appalachia (Marcellus + Utica/Point Pleasant) | US · PA, WV, OH | Unconventional shale | Middle Devonian Marcellus, Ordovician Utica black shales | Dry gas; wet gas in SW Pennsylvania & E. Ohio | NGLs & condensate only | Horizontal + fracturing, long laterals |
| Haynesville / Bossier | US · NW Louisiana, E. Texas | Unconventional shale | Late Jurassic mudstone, 10,500–13,000 ft, over-pressured and hot | Dry gas | — | Horizontal + fracturing; steepest well declines |
| San Juan | US · NW New Mexico, SW Colorado | Conventional, tight & coalbed methane | Late Cretaceous Fruitland coal, Mesaverde and Dakota sands, Mancos shale | Gas + some light oil | — | Coal-seam dewatering; conventional and horizontal Mancos wells |
| Barnett | US · Fort Worth, Texas | Unconventional shale (legacy) | Mississippian shale | Dry & wet gas | — | Where slickwater fracturing and horizontal shale drilling began |
| Fayetteville (Arkoma) | US · Arkansas | Unconventional shale (legacy) | Mississippian shale | Dry gas | — | Existing wells; no new drilling since ~2018 |
| Alaska North Slope (Prudhoe, Kuparuk, Alpine, Willow) | US · Alaska | Conventional | Triassic Ivishak sandstone, Mississippian Lisburne limestone; Cretaceous Nanushuk (Pikka, Willow) | Medium oil; gas re-injected | Alaska North Slope 32.3° · 1.04% | Waterflood + gas cycling (no gas export route); gravel-pad wells |
| Alberta oil sands (Athabasca, Cold Lake, Peace River) | Canada · Alberta | Unconventional bitumen | Early Cretaceous McMurray, Clearwater and Bluesky–Gething sands | Bitumen, 8–11° raw | Sold as WCS (bitumen thinned with diluent — “dilbit”) 21.1° · 3.68% or synthetic crude 32.4° · 0.25% | Truck-and-shovel mining where cover is under ~75 m; in-situ SAGD (Athabasca) and CSS (Cold Lake) deeper |
| WCSB conventional & heavy (Cardium, Viking, Clearwater, Lloydminster) | Canada · Alberta, Saskatchewan | Conventional, tight & cold heavy oil | Cretaceous Cardium and Viking sands; Early Cretaceous Clearwater and Mannville heavy-oil sands | Light, medium & heavy oil + gas | Lloydminster Blend 21.3° · 3.47% | Waterflood in light-oil pools; multilateral “fishbone” wells (Clearwater); cold production with sand, CHOPS (Lloydminster) |
| Montney | Canada · NE British Columbia, W. Alberta | Unconventional tight | Early Triassic siltstone, up to 280 m thick | Liquids-rich gas + condensate | Condensate, ~58° · 0.10% (Edmonton blend) | Horizontal + fracturing |
| Duvernay | Canada · central Alberta | Unconventional shale | Late Devonian calcareous shale | Condensate, light oil + gas | Condensate & light oil | Horizontal + fracturing |
| Burgos | Mexico · Tamaulipas | Conventional + tight | Paleogene deltaic sands; southern extension of the Eagle Ford trend | Gas | — | Vertical fractured wells |
| Tampico-Misantla / Chicontepec | Mexico · east-central | Conventional, very low permeability | Paleocene–Eocene tight turbidites (Chicontepec); Cretaceous reef carbonates (Golden Lane) | Oil of variable gravity + gas | Varies by field | Dense vertical drilling with fracturing; low recovery |
Source: reservoir ages and depths per the formation profiles compiled from the USGS, Alberta Energy Regulator and state geological surveys; crude qualities per the ExxonMobil crude assays (Bakken, Alaska North Slope), CrudeMonitor five-year averages (WCS, Synthetic Sweet Blend, Lloydminster Blend, Edmonton condensate) and the CME Group WTI delivery specification; Eagle Ford, Anadarko and DJ gravity bands per the oil market guide, “Where oil is extracted”; extraction methods per U.S. EIA and operator disclosures. Gravity bands for shale plays are typical ranges, not assays — each play spans several windows.
Every US shale play in Table 2 yields light, sweet oil or condensate from the same horizontal-well-and-fracturing factory, so the continent’s heavy sour barrels come only from Canada’s bitumen and heavy oil and Mexico’s offshore carbonates — and its cost debate is about drilling efficiency, not reservoir engineering.
Table 3. North American onshore basins — production, reserves, operators and cost
| Basin / play | Oil & liquids (2025) | Gas (2025) | Indicative proved reserves | Key public operators (exchange · ticker) | Cost indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Permian | 6.6 MMbbl/d | 27.5 Bcf/d | ~95 Tcf gas + largest US oil reserve base | ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Occidental (NYSE: OXY), Diamondback (NASDAQ: FANG), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Devon (NYSE: DVN), Permian Resources (NYSE: PR), Coterra (NYSE: CTRA) | New-well (full-cycle) breakeven $65/bbl WTI (2025 survey), $67/bbl (2026) |
| Bakken | 1.2 MMbbl/d | 3.3 Bcf/d | ~13 Tcf gas | ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Chord Energy (NASDAQ: CHRD), Devon (NYSE: DVN), Continental (private) | Within the $61–70/bbl US regional range (2025) |
| Eagle Ford | 1.2 MMbbl/d | 7.4 Bcf/d | ~31 Tcf gas | EOG (NYSE: EOG), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Devon (NYSE: DVN), Crescent Energy (NYSE: CRGY) | Within the $61–70/bbl US regional range (2025) |
| DJ / Niobrara | ~0.47 MMbbl/d (Niobrara–Codell) | ~2.9 Bcf/d (Niobrara–Codell) | Oil-weighted | Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Occidental (NYSE: OXY), Civitas Resources (NYSE: CIVI) | Within the $61–70/bbl US regional range (2025) |
| Uinta | ~0.19 MMbbl/d (Utah total) | Small | Oil-weighted (waxy) | Crescent Energy (NYSE: CRGY), SM Energy (NYSE: SM), Ovintiv (NYSE: OVV) | No survey benchmark; heated-transport cost |
| Anadarko | ≥0.15 MMbbl/d (horizontal wells) | ≥3.6 Bcf/d (horizontal wells) | ~21 Tcf gas | Devon (NYSE: DVN), Coterra (NYSE: CTRA), Ovintiv (NYSE: OVV), Continental (private) | Within the $61–70/bbl US regional range (2025) |
| Powder River | ~0.2 MMbbl/d (derived: >70% of Wyoming’s 0.29 MMbbl/d) | Small | Oil-weighted | EOG (NYSE: EOG), Devon (NYSE: DVN), Continental (private) | Upper end of the US regional range |
| Gulf Coast onshore | ~0.12 MMbbl/d (Austin Chalk) | Modest | Mixed | Magnolia (NYSE: MGY), EOG (NYSE: EOG) | Within the US regional range |
| Appalachia | 0.19 MMbbl/d | 36.7 Bcf/d | ~170 Tcf gas (Marcellus + Utica) | EQT (NYSE: EQT), Expand Energy (NASDAQ: EXE), Antero (NYSE: AR), Range (NYSE: RRC), CNX (NYSE: CNX), Coterra (NYSE: CTRA) | ~$2.00–2.75/MMBtu gas |
| Haynesville | Negligible | 15.0 Bcf/d | ~34 Tcf gas | Expand Energy (NASDAQ: EXE), Comstock (NYSE: CRK), Aethon (private) | ~$2.75–3.50/MMBtu gas |
| San Juan | Minor | ~1.7 Bcf/d (processed gas, mid-2025) | Mature gas | Hilcorp (private) | Held by sunk infrastructure |
| Barnett | — | 1.6 Bcf/d | ~4.7 Tcf gas | BKV (NYSE: BKV), Diversified Energy (NYSE: DEC) | Held by sunk infrastructure |
| Fayetteville | — | ~0.8 Bcf/d | ~2.8 Tcf gas | Private holders | Held by sunk infrastructure |
| Alaska North Slope | 0.42 MMbbl/d | Re-injected | Large conventional | ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Hilcorp (private), Santos (ASX: STO) | High capital, long life |
| Alberta oil sands | 3.5 MMbbl/d | — | ~159 bn bbl bitumen | Canadian Natural (TSX: CNQ), Suncor (TSX: SU), Cenovus (TSX: CVE), Imperial (TSX: IMO), MEG (TSX: MEG) | Half-cycle ~$27/bbl WTI-equivalent average; greenfield SAGD $80/bbl+ |
| WCSB conventional & heavy | 1.1 MMbbl/d | ~18 Bcf/d (all Western Canada) | Clearwater heavy oil 1.61 bn bbl | Canadian Natural (TSX: CNQ), Cenovus (TSX: CVE), Whitecap (TSX: WCP), Baytex (TSX: BTE), Headwater (TSX: HWX) | Cold heavy oil: low capital per well, heavy-oil discount |
| Montney | Not reported by play in this table’s sources | Large | 64.5 Tcf gas; 2.9 bn bbl condensate (Alberta portion only) | Tourmaline (TSX: TOU), ARC Resources (TSX: ARX), Ovintiv (NYSE: OVV), Canadian Natural (TSX: CNQ) | Low; condensate earns an oil-linked price |
| Duvernay | Not reported by play in this table’s sources | Rising | 17.7 Tcf gas; 0.89 bn bbl condensate | Ovintiv (NYSE: OVV), Canadian Natural (TSX: CNQ), Chevron (NYSE: CVX) | Mid |
| Burgos | Minor | Modest | Modest gas | Pemex (state-owned) | Pemex-set |
| Tampico-Misantla / Chicontepec | Small | Minor | Very large in place, low recovery | Pemex (state-owned) | High per barrel recovered |
Source: US production per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026, regional Tables 4a, 5a and 10b (2025 averages; DJ and Gulf Coast rows are the Niobrara–Codell and Austin Chalk formation series, and Barnett and Fayetteville gas the Table 10b formation series); Uinta is Utah’s statewide crude output (186 kbbl/d) and Powder River is derived from Wyoming’s 289 kbbl/d, both per U.S. EIA, 2025, with the basin’s more-than-70% share of Wyoming oil in 2022–24 per the Wyoming State Geological Survey; San Juan processed (“residue”) gas per East Daley, July 2025; Anadarko horizontal-well output per Novi Labs, November 2025, a lower bound that excludes vertical wells; Canadian production per CAPP, 2025; US gas reserves per U.S. EIA, year-end 2024; oil sands reserves per the Government of Alberta citing the AER; Montney, Duvernay and Clearwater per the AER reserves reassessment, 2025, which covers Alberta only (the Montney’s British Columbia portion is excluded); new-well (full-cycle) breakevens per the Dallas Fed Energy Survey, March 2025 ($65 Permian average, $61–70 range across regions) and March 2026 ($67 Permian); oil sands half-cycle cost per S&P Global Commodity Insights, June 2025 ($18–45, average ~$27, WTI basis), and greenfield SAGD per Enverus as cited in Part 1: Upstream, “The cost curve & breakevens”; gas breakevens are indicative industry bands. Listings: all named companies are publicly listed except Continental Resources, Aethon and Hilcorp (privately held) and Pemex (Mexican state-owned). Shale figures are new-well (full-cycle) breakevens, while the oil sands ~$27 is a half-cycle cost of running existing operations and the $80+ a greenfield full-cycle breakeven — Section 9 explains why they are not comparable.
3.1 The shale oil engines
The Permian Basin is the most important oil basin in the Western Hemisphere. It is two basins under one name — the Midland and the Delaware, split by the Central Basin Platform — and its edge is stacked rock: a dozen productive benches that let an operator drill many horizontal wells from one pad, plus the deepest inventory and best infrastructure of any US basin. Its binding constraint is associated gas — 27.5 Bcf/d of it — whose pipeline takeaway, not geology, often caps activity.
The other oil plays differ less in rock than in maturity and constraint. The Bakken is the original tight-oil play, still one of the best barrels but with fewer undrilled locations; the Eagle Ford’s zonation — oil updip grading into condensate and dry gas down-dip — lets operators steer between products; and in the smaller plays the binding constraint is above ground or in the barrel: Colorado’s permitting in the DJ Basin, the Powder River’s unrealised multi-bench potential, heated transport for the Uinta’s waxy crude.
3.2 The gas engines & legacy basins
Appalachia — the Marcellus and the deeper Utica — is the continent’s dry-gas heartland at 36.7 Bcf/d, with the lowest US gas breakevens, but it can produce more than its pipelines carry, so local prices trade below Henry Hub, the Louisiana hub that sets the US gas benchmark, and new supply waits on new pipe. The Haynesville is hotter, deeper and dearer, and its strategic case is proximity to Gulf Coast LNG. The Barnett, Fayetteville and San Juan no longer grow but produce cheaply on sunk infrastructure.
3.3 Canada & Mexico onshore
Canada’s onshore is a different animal. The Alberta oil sands hold about 159 billion barrels of bitumen and produce 3.5 MMbbl/d: shallow deposits are mined, deeper ones melted in place by SAGD or CSS steam (mechanics in the oil sands guide). The economics invert shale — huge up-front capital, then decades of near-flat output — and the product is sold heavy and sour as WCS or upgraded to light synthetic crude. The Montney’s condensate, bought back as bitumen diluent, lifts otherwise cheap gas economics; the Duvernay is its younger cousin; and the conventional and heavy WCSB — light-oil waterfloods, Clearwater multilateral wells, Lloydminster CHOPS — adds about 1.1 MMbbl/d.
Mexico’s onshore is small and almost entirely Pemex: Burgos extends the south-Texas gas trend, and Chicontepec holds vast oil in rock so tight that decades of drilling have produced little.
Figure 3. North American crude oil production by major source (2025)
Figure data: US regions and the Gulf of America per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026 (Bakken 1.23, Eagle Ford 1.16); Canadian oil sands and conventional oil per CAPP, 2025; Mexico is Pemex plus partners, 1.635 MMbbl/d including 268 kbbl/d of condensate and onshore output, per Pemex 4Q25 results as reported by Mexico Business News.
Figure 4. North American natural gas production by region (2025)
Figure data: US regions per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026, Table 5a (marketed gas, 2025 averages); Anadarko per Novi Labs, November 2025, horizontal wells only (a lower bound); Western Canada is the approximate WCSB total including the Montney per the Canada Energy Regulator and CAPP (Canada about 18.8 Bcf/d, 2025 year to date).
3.4 Offshore North America
Offshore North America is a few basins with an outsized share of the capital and reserve life: the US Gulf of America, Mexico’s Bay of Campeche and the Grand Banks. Their deposits are conventional — the difficulty is the water, not the rock.
Table 4. North American offshore basins — deposit characteristics, production and operators
| Basin / area | Setting · water depth | Reservoir & age | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Production system & recovery | Output (2025) | Key operators (exchange · ticker) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf of America — deepwater | US federal OCS · ~300 m to ~2,900 m | Miocene turbidite sands; Paleogene Wilcox (Perdido, Anchor); Jurassic Norphlet (Appomattox); salt-related traps | Mars 29.4° · 1.87%; Thunder Horse 34.5° · 0.76% | TLPs, spars, semi-submersibles, FPSOs, subsea tiebacks; waterflood | ~1.9 MMbbl/d (whole Gulf) | Shell (NYSE: SHEL), BP (NYSE: BP), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Occidental (NYSE: OXY), Talos (NYSE: TALO), Murphy (NYSE: MUR) |
| Gulf of America — shelf | US federal OCS · under ~300 m | Plio-Miocene sands around salt domes | Mixed medium grades | Fixed platforms; late-life | Declining | W&T Offshore (NYSE: WTI), Talos (NYSE: TALO), Arena (private) |
| Bay of Campeche (Ku-Maloob-Zaap, Cantarell) | Mexico · shallow, ~40–100 m | End-Cretaceous carbonate breccia (Cantarell); Jurassic to Eocene carbonates (Ku-Maloob-Zaap) | Maya 21.5° · 3.40%; Isthmus 32.5° · 1.80% | Fixed platforms; nitrogen injection for pressure support (Cantarell since 2000, Ku-Maloob-Zaap) | Ku-Maloob-Zaap 0.53 MMbbl/d; Cantarell 0.12 MMbbl/d (business units, 2025) | Pemex (state-owned) |
| Mexican deepwater (Trion) | Mexico · Perdido Fold Belt, ~2,500 m | Paleogene sands | Light–medium | Semi-submersible production unit + storage vessel | Pre-production; first oil 2028 | Woodside (ASX/NYSE: WDS) with Pemex |
| Zama | Mexico · shallow water, Sureste Basin Block 7 | Upper Miocene sandstone | Light–medium | Fixed platforms planned | Pre-production | Pemex (unit operator) with private partners |
| Jeanne d’Arc / Grand Banks (Hibernia, Hebron, Terra Nova, White Rose) | Canada · offshore Newfoundland, ~80–120 m, icebergs | Early Cretaceous Hibernia and Ben Nevis sandstones; Late Jurassic Jeanne d’Arc sandstone | Hibernia 33.9° · 0.63%; Hebron 27.0° · 0.71% | Gravity-base structures (Hibernia, Hebron) and FPSOs (Terra Nova, White Rose); waterflood | ~0.24 MMbbl/d | ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Suncor (TSX: SU), Cenovus (TSX: CVE), Equinor (NYSE: EQNR), Chevron (NYSE: CVX) |
| Flemish Pass (Bay du Nord) | Canada · ultra-deep, ~500 km offshore | Cretaceous–Jurassic sandstone | Light | Planned FPSO | Undeveloped | Equinor (NYSE: EQNR) with partners |
| Pacific OCS (Santa Barbara Channel) | US · offshore California, shallow | Miocene fractured Monterey shale and chert | Heavy–medium sour | Fixed platforms; restart disputed | Small | Sable Offshore (NYSE: SOC) |
Source: Gulf of America output per U.S. EIA, March 2026, and operator lists per BOEM; Thunder Horse, Hibernia and Hebron assays per ExxonMobil; Mars, Maya and Isthmus per the S&P Global Platts Americas crude specifications, July 2026; Campeche output is crude production by business unit per Pemex’s 2025 annual report on Form 20-F — Ku-Maloob-Zaap 530.5 kbbl/d (585.2 in 2024) and Cantarell 123.4 kbbl/d, of which the Cantarell fields proper 51.8 kbbl/d, against a 2004 peak of 2.1 MMbbl/d per Offshore Technology; Trion per Woodside; Newfoundland output derived from its 4.5% share of Canada’s 5.35 MMbbl/d per the Canada Energy Regulator, 2025. Listings: all named companies are publicly listed except Pemex (state-owned) and Arena (private). Water depths and reservoir descriptions are structural, not point-in-time.
The Gulf of America is the continent’s offshore workhorse: at ~1.9 MMbbl/d it outproduces every US onshore basin except the Permian, and it grew by 111 kbbl/d in 2025 as five deepwater projects started. Its traps owe their shape to moving salt, its giants — Mars, Thunder Horse, Atlantis — produce medium, partly sour crude for decades from floating hubs, and it grows mainly by subsea tieback. For an investor it is the long-cycle complement to shale: projects sanctioned years earlier keep producing through a price dip that stops shale drilling within months.
Mexico’s production is overwhelmingly offshore, heavy and sour. Cantarell — a carbonate breccia shattered at the end of the Cretaceous, which peaked above 2 MMbbl/d in 2004 — has fallen below 6% of that despite the world’s largest nitrogen-injection scheme, and Ku-Maloob-Zaap is past its peak too; Trion and Zama arrive late this decade. Off Newfoundland, iceberg-resistant gravity-base platforms and FPSOs produce light oil from the Jeanne d’Arc Basin, with the ultra-deep Flemish Pass next door.
4. South & Central America
South America holds the world’s largest reserves, in Venezuela’s extra-heavy Orinoco Belt, and its fastest-growing deepwater basins, off Brazil and Guyana — plus Argentina’s Vaca Muerta, the one shale-oil play outside North America producing at scale. It spans the whole range of Table 1, from cold-produced tar to ultra-deep FPSOs.
Table 5. South & Central American basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin | Country · setting | Resource class | Reservoir & age · trap | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method & production system |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos pre-salt (Tupi, Búzios, Mero, Sépia) | Brazil · ultra-deep, ~2,000 m | Conventional | Early Cretaceous (Aptian) microbial and coquina carbonates beneath ~2 km of salt | Light–medium sweet oil; CO₂-rich associated gas | Tupi 30.5° · 0.35%; Búzios 28.6° · 0.32%; Mero 29.0° · 0.31% | FPSOs with subsea wells; water-alternating-gas injection with gas and CO₂ re-injection |
| Orinoco Oil Belt (Boyacá, Junín, Ayacucho, Carabobo) | Venezuela · onshore | Unconventional extra-heavy | Miocene unconsolidated sands on the Eastern Venezuela Basin’s southern margin; stratigraphic; biodegraded oil | Extra-heavy oil, <10° raw | Merey 16 blend 16.0° · 3.40%, or upgraded synthetic crude | Cold production: horizontal and multilateral wells with progressive cavity pumps, blended with naphtha or light crude; upgraders |
| Maracaibo | Venezuela · onshore & shallow lake | Conventional, mature | Eocene Misoa and Miocene sandstones; Cretaceous limestones sourced by La Luna shale; structural & stratigraphic | Medium to heavy oil | Medium–heavy sour | Lake and onshore wells; waterflood |
| Guyana–Suriname (Stabroek: Liza, Payara, Yellowtail, Uaru) | Guyana · ultra-deep, ~1,500–1,900 m | Conventional, growth | Upper Cretaceous stacked turbidite channel sandstones; stratigraphic traps | Light–medium sweet oil | Liza 31.9° · 0.59%; Golden Arrowhead 36.5° · 0.25% | FPSOs with subsea wells; water and gas injection (gas fully re-injected) |
| Neuquén — Vaca Muerta | Argentina · onshore | Unconventional shale | Late Jurassic–Early Cretaceous marine shale and marl, ~2,900 m deep, >400 m thick; continuous | Light oil → wet gas → dry gas windows | Medanito 40.8° · 0.15% | Horizontal wells with ~3,000 m laterals + multistage fracturing from pads |
| Campos post-salt (Marlim, Roncador) | Brazil · deepwater, ~650–1,900 m | Conventional, mature | Oligocene–Miocene turbidite sandstones | Heavy–medium oil | Marlim 17–21° | FPSOs and semi-submersibles; waterflood |
| Llanos (Rubiales, Castilla) | Colombia · onshore | Conventional heavy oil | Oligocene–Miocene Carbonera sands; hydrodynamic trap | Heavy oil, ~11–15° raw | Castilla Blend 18.8° · 1.97% | Pumped wells at high water cut; blended for export |
Source: Orinoco resource and recovery basis per the USGS, 2009, and Merey 16 per the S&P Global Platts Americas crude specifications, July 2026; Maracaibo geology per Wikipedia’s Maracaibo Basin article; pre-salt assays per PPSA, 2025, and gas re-injection per JPT, 2024; Marlim per Wikipedia’s Marlim article; Stabroek geology per AAPG Search and Discovery and assays per ExxonMobil; Vaca Muerta per Wikipedia’s Vaca Muerta Formation article and Medanito assay per Equinor via Oil & Gas Journal, 2023; Castilla per U.S. EIA. Crude qualities are blend specifications; Merey’s varies with how much diluent is blended in.
Table 6. South & Central American basins — production, reserves, operators and terms
| Basin | Output | Proved reserves | Key operators (listing) | Fiscal regime | Cost indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos pre-salt | ~3.0 MMbbl/d, ~80% of Brazil’s 3.77 MMbbl/d crude (2025) | Brazil 17.5 bn bbl oil, ~20 Tcf gas (1P, end-2025) | Petrobras — Public (NYSE: PBR; B3: PETR4), state-controlled; Shell (NYSE: SHEL); TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE); Equinor (NYSE: EQNR) | Production-sharing contracts inside the pre-salt polygon; concessions outside | Petrobras pre-salt lifting cost $4.19/boe, $6.87 including FPSO leases (2025) |
| Venezuela (Orinoco + Maracaibo) | ~1.0 MMbbl/d total liquids (2025); 1.03–1.14 MMbbl/d in April 2026 (OPEC secondary sources vs PDVSA) | ~303 bn bbl (country) | PDVSA (state-owned); Chevron — Public (NYSE: CVX), in Petropiar, Petroindependencia and Petroboscán; BP, Eni, Repsol and Shell licensed in 2026 | Joint ventures with state majority; royalty up to 30% plus a hydrocarbons tax up to 15% of gross income (2026 amendment) | Chevron total costs below $20/bbl (company statement, 2026) |
| Guyana — Stabroek | ~0.72–0.75 MMbbl/d average (2025); >900 kbbl/d from November 2025 | >11 bn boe discovered recoverable resource (operator estimate) | ExxonMobil 45%, operator — Public (NYSE: XOM); Chevron 30% via Hess — Public (NYSE: CVX); CNOOC 25% — Public (HKEX: 0883), state-controlled | 2016 production-sharing agreement: 2% royalty, cost recovery capped at 75%, 50/50 profit oil | Project breakevens ~$25–35/bbl Brent (operator, 2022) |
| Argentina — Vaca Muerta | ~0.50 MMbbl/d shale oil of 0.80 MMbbl/d national crude; ~2.7 Bcf/d shale gas (2025) | Argentina 3.0 bn bbl oil, 17.2 Tcf gas (end-2023) | YPF — Public (NYSE: YPF), state-majority; Vista — Public (NYSE: VIST); Pampa Energía — Public (NYSE: PAM); Pan American Energy (private); Tecpetrol (private); Chevron, Shell, TotalEnergies | Provincial concessions with royalties; RIGI large-investment incentive regime | Well breakevens ~$32–49/bbl across the most prospective blocks (Rystad, 2026; basis not stated) |
| Campos post-salt | Post-salt, all basins: ~15% of Brazil’s output (2025) | In Brazil total | Petrobras (NYSE: PBR); PRIO — Public (B3: PRIO3) | Concessions | Petrobras deep post-salt lifting cost $17.25/boe (2025) |
| Colombia — Llanos | Colombia ~0.75 MMbbl/d (2025, approx.) | ~2.0 bn bbl (country) | Ecopetrol — Public (NYSE: EC), state-majority | Concession: royalty & tax | — |
| Suriname — Block 58 (GranMorgu) | Pre-production; 220 kbbl/d FPSO, first oil 2028 | >750 MMbbl recoverable resource (operator estimate) | TotalEnergies 50%, operator — Public (NYSE: TTE); APA 50% — Public (NASDAQ: APA) | Production-sharing contract; state company option up to 20% | $10.5 bn development capital |
Source: Brazil output per the ANP December 2025 production bulletin and reserves per the ANP, April 2026; Petrobras costs per its 4Q25 report; fiscal regimes per the ANP; Venezuela 2025 output per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026, Table 3c (1.01 MMbbl/d total liquids), and April 2026 output per OPEC secondary sources (1.031 MMbbl/d) and PDVSA (1.136 MMbbl/d) as compiled by Venezuelanalysis (sources disagree on 2026 levels), reserves per U.S. EIA and OPEC, law changes per Mayer Brown, February 2026, Chevron’s joint ventures per World Oil and its “total costs of less than $20 per barrel” per Chevron, 2 September 2026 (components not itemised); Guyana per ExxonMobil, the Guyana government via OilNOW (261.1 MMbbl in 2025; U.S. EIA estimates ~750 kbbl/d) and breakevens per OilNOW; Argentina per Secretaría de Energía data compiled by Río Negro (gas converted from 76 MMm³/d), reserves per U.S. EIA and well breakevens per Rystad Energy, May 2026, which does not state their price basis; Colombia figures are approximate and should be re-sourced from the ANH; Suriname per TotalEnergies, October 2024. Listings: PDVSA is state-owned; Pan American Energy and Tecpetrol are privately held.
4.1 The Orinoco Belt
Venezuela’s Orinoco Oil Belt is the biggest oil accumulation on Earth — about 1.3 trillion barrels in place, 513 billion technically recoverable on the USGS mean estimate — and one of the least productive. It is the same accident as Athabasca: crude migrated to a shallow, cool basin margin where bacteria ate its light molecules. But it is warm enough to move, so it is produced cold through horizontal wells and pumps, then blended with imported naphtha into Merey 16 or upgraded to synthetic crude — making every barrel dependent on a diluent supply chain. National output fell from about 3 MMbbl/d around 2000 to near 0.35 MMbbl/d in 2020 and has recovered toward 1 MMbbl/d since US licensing resumed: the largest reserves in the world are worth only what above-ground conditions let them produce.
4.2 Brazil’s pre-salt
Brazil’s pre-salt is the region’s growth engine: Early Cretaceous microbial carbonates formed in rift lakes as South America tore from Africa, sealed under about two kilometres of salt in two kilometres of water. Hard to image and undrilled until the mid-2000s, the reservoirs proved thick — up to 480 metres at Búzios — and full of light-to-medium sweet crude, developed entirely through FPSOs. The complication is CO₂-rich associated gas, mostly re-injected rather than sold. The result is one of the lowest deepwater lifting costs anywhere — about $4/boe for Petrobras — against four times that in the mature, heavier Campos post-salt fields next door, and inside the pre-salt polygon production-sharing contracts give the state a bid share of profit oil.
4.3 Guyana–Suriname
Guyana is the fastest deepwater ramp in the industry’s history: from first oil in December 2019 to more than 900 kbbl/d in November 2025, with the operator targeting about 1.7 MMbbl/d by 2030. Stabroek’s reservoirs are Upper Cretaceous turbidite sandstones — West Africa’s mirror image, because the margins were once joined — developed by a repeatable programme of 250 kbbl/d FPSOs with project breakevens around $25–35/bbl. The risk is concentration in one block and one production-sharing agreement whose initial cost pool has been recovered, so the state’s share of output is rising. Suriname’s Block 58 follows in 2028.
4.4 Vaca Muerta
Argentina’s Vaca Muerta is one of the world’s best shale source rocks — thicker than most US plays and over-pressured — and shale oil reached about half a million barrels a day in 2025, lifting national crude to 0.80 MMbbl/d, just short of its 1998 peak of 0.82. It behaves like a North American shale (light sweet Medanito, oil-to-gas windows, 3,000-metre laterals) and declines like one. The difference is above ground: provincial royalties, capital controls and a lagging pipeline network, which is why the VMOS export line and the RIGI investment regime matter as much as the rock.
5. Europe & the Caspian
Europe’s producing basin is the North Sea, home of the Brent benchmark. East of it, Russia’s West Siberian and Volga-Ural basins make the country the third-largest oil producer, and the Caspian adds some of the deepest, highest-pressure and most sour conventional reservoirs anywhere. Few regions show more clearly how much the terms around a deposit matter.
Table 7. Europe & Caspian basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin | Country · setting | Resource class | Reservoir & age · trap | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method & production system |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Siberian Basin (Samotlor, Priobskoye; Urengoy, Bovanenkovo) | Russia · onshore, wetland and permafrost | Conventional + tight (Bazhenov) | Lower Cretaceous sandstones (oil); Cenomanian sands (dry gas); Late Jurassic Bazhenov shale | Light oil; dry gas in Yamal and Nadym-Pur-Taz | Siberian Light 35.1° · 0.57%; Urals export blend 31.5° · 1.44% | Waterflood at water cuts of 90%+ (Samotlor); horizontal wells with multistage fracturing (Priobskoye); Yamal LNG |
| Volga-Ural (Romashkino) | Russia · onshore, Tatarstan & Bashkortostan | Conventional, mature | Devonian sandstones; Carboniferous carbonates | Medium–heavy, high-sulphur oil — the sour component of Urals | Blended into Urals | Waterflood; horizontal wells for extra-viscous oil |
| East Siberia & Sakhalin (Vankor; Sakhalin-1 and -2) | Russia · onshore; ice-covered shallow offshore | Conventional | Vankor sandstones; Sakhalin shelf sandstones | Light oil + gas | ESPO 34–35° · ~0.6%; Sokol 39.7° · 0.17%; Sakhalin Blend 45.5° · 0.16% | Onshore wells into the ESPO pipeline to Asia; extended-reach wells from shore and ice-resistant platforms; Sakhalin-2 LNG |
| Pre-Caspian — Tengiz & Karachaganak | Kazakhstan · onshore | Conventional, deep and sour | Carboniferous carbonate platform at ~4 km under Permian salt, formation pressure ~11,100 psi (Tengiz); Permian–Carboniferous reef (Karachaganak) | Light sour oil with ~17% H₂S gas (Tengiz); gas-condensate (Karachaganak) | CPC Blend 45.3° · 0.56% | Sour-gas re-injection (Tengiz, since 2008); gas cycling (Karachaganak) |
| North Caspian — Kashagan | Kazakhstan · very shallow offshore, 3–9 m | Conventional, high-pressure sour | Late Devonian–Middle Carboniferous limestone at ~4,500 m | Light oil with ~19% H₂S gas | CPC Blend; also exported via BTC | Artificial drilling islands; sour-gas re-injection |
| Norwegian North Sea & Barents (Johan Sverdrup, Troll, Ekofisk, Johan Castberg) | Norway · offshore, ~70–370 m | Conventional, plateau | Upper Jurassic sandstones in fault blocks (Sverdrup, Troll); Late Cretaceous–Paleocene fractured chalk (Ekofisk); Triassic–Jurassic sandstones (Castberg) | Medium sour oil (Sverdrup); light sweet oil (Ekofisk); gas with an oil rim (Troll) | Johan Sverdrup 28.0° · 0.80%; Ekofisk 38.5° · 0.19%; Troll 35.9° · 0.14% | Fixed steel and concrete platforms, several powered from shore; FPSO (Castberg); waterflood — Ekofisk’s lifted expected recovery above 50% from 17% on depletion |
| UK North Sea & West of Shetland (Forties, Buzzard, Clair, Schiehallion) | UK · offshore, ~100–450 m | Conventional, mature decline | Jurassic and Paleocene sandstones (Central North Sea); Devonian–Carboniferous sandstone (Clair); Paleocene turbidites (Schiehallion) | Light–medium oil + gas | Brent 37.5° · 0.40%; Forties 38.7° · 0.64% | Fixed platforms; FPSO (Schiehallion); waterflood and infill drilling guided by repeat (4D) seismic surveys |
| South Caspian — Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli | Azerbaijan · offshore, ~120–175 m | Conventional, mature | Pliocene sandstones in an anticline | Light sweet oil | Azeri Light 36.6° · 0.15% | Seven fixed platforms with water and gas injection; exported via the BTC pipeline |
Source: Norwegian field geology, water depths and recovery per Norsk Petroleum field pages and the Norwegian Offshore Directorate; UK per the NSTA and operator pages (Ithaca Energy); Russian basins per U.S. EIA and the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, 2024; Tengiz per the Tengizchevroil year-end 2025 fact sheet (sour-gas injection completed 2008), depth per an AAPG conference abstract (“buried to a depth of 4000 m”), formation pressure (11,110 psi), oil column (over 1,500 m) and Permian salt seal per the Oil & Gas Journal, 1990, and 17% H₂S per Fluor, the sour-gas plant’s contractor; Kashagan and ACG per operator disclosures (bp Azerbaijan); all crude specifications per the S&P Global Platts EMEA crude specifications and Asia Pacific crude specifications (ESPO, Sokol, Sakhalin Blend), August 2026. Company assays differ slightly — Equinor’s 2026 Troll assay reads 38.8° API — so treat single values as blend specifications.
Table 8. Europe & Caspian basins — production, reserves, operators and terms
| Country / basin | Output (2025) | Proved reserves | Key operators (listing) | Fiscal regime | Cost & risk indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia (all basins) | ~10.3 MMbbl/d crude & condensate; ~59 Bcf/d gas | 80 bn bbl (OGJ); 58 bn bbl (Rystad) — sources disagree | Rosneft (MOEX: ROSN), state-controlled; Gazprom (MOEX: GAZP), state-controlled; Lukoil (MOEX: LKOH); Surgutneftegas (MOEX: SNGS); Novatek (MOEX: NVTK); Tatneft (MOEX: TATN) | Mineral extraction tax + additional profits tax; export duty phased out in 2024 | Low lifting cost; EU/UK price cap $44.10/bbl from February 2026; US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil (October 2025) |
| Kazakhstan (Tengiz, Kashagan, Karachaganak) | ~2.0–2.1 MMbbl/d crude & condensate (+13%) | 30 bn bbl | Tengizchevroil: Chevron 50% (NYSE: CVX), ExxonMobil 25% (NYSE: XOM), KazMunayGas 20% (state-controlled); Kashagan: Eni (BIT: ENI), Shell (NYSE: SHEL), TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), ExxonMobil and KazMunayGas ~16.8% each | Production-sharing agreements (Kashagan, Karachaganak); joint-venture agreement (Tengiz) | Export route risk: the CPC pipeline to Novorossiysk carries most exports and was hit by drones in 2025 |
| Norway | 1.84 MMbbl/d crude; ~2.05 MMbbl/d with NGLs & condensate; 11.8 Bcf/d gas | ~14 bn boe remaining reserves (all hydrocarbons, end-2025) | Equinor — Public (NYSE: EQNR), majority state-owned; Aker BP (OSE: AKRBP); Vår Energi (OSE: VAR); ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP); TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE); Petoro (state) | Concession: 22% corporate tax + 71.8% special tax = 78% marginal rate (the special-tax base deducts the 22% tax); investment expensed immediately against the special tax, depreciated over six years for corporate tax | Johan Sverdrup emissions 0.67 kg CO₂/bbl (operator figure); Sverdrup output guided to fall by more than 10% but well below 20% in 2026 |
| UK | ~0.68–0.70 MMbbl/d crude & NGLs; ~2.9 Bcf/d gas | 2.9 bn boe 2P (end-2024) | BP (NYSE: BP); Adura (Shell–Equinor joint venture, private); Harbour Energy (LSE: HBR); Ithaca Energy (LSE: ITH) | Concession: 30% ring-fence tax + 10% supplementary charge + 38% Energy Profits Levy = 78% to March 2030 | Unit operating cost £19.49/boe (2024) |
| Azerbaijan (Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli) | ACG ~323 kbbl/d (H1 2026); country ~0.57 MMbbl/d | 7.0 bn bbl | BP 30.37%, operator (NYSE: BP); SOCAR 35.30% (state-owned); MOL (BUD: MOL); INPEX (TSE: 1605); ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) | Production-sharing agreement extended to 2049 | Steady decline; growth depends on gas and BTC transit |
Source: Russian oil output per Deputy Prime Minister Novak (“516 million tonnes”, converted at ~7.3 bbl/t) as reported by Interfax, December 2025 (Russia withholds official statistics), and gas per the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2026 via Our World in Data (609 bcm in 2025, converted to Bcf/d on the same basis as Table 10), reserves per the Oil & Gas Journal worldwide survey (1 January 2026) and U.S. EIA citing Rystad, price cap per the European Commission and sanctions per the U.S. Treasury; Kazakhstan per its statistics bureau via The Astana Times, OGJ and the Tengizchevroil year-end 2025 fact sheet; Norway per the Norwegian Offshore Directorate (remaining reserves derived from its end-2025 resource accounts), taxes per Norsk Petroleum, Johan Sverdrup’s emissions per Equinor and its 2026 decline guidance per Equinor’s chief executive as reported by JPT, February 2026 (a forecast); UK per DESNZ, the NSTA and Deloitte; Azerbaijan per bp and OGJ. Moscow-listed shares are not tradable for most Western investors. Oil output bases differ by country — crude only, crude and condensate, or including NGLs — as labelled.
5.1 The North Sea
The North Sea is a Jurassic rift full of tilted fault blocks — sandstone reservoirs rotated and sealed along faults — plus the fractured chalk of Ekofisk, in water shallow enough for fixed platforms. Norway is at a plateau, its oil output the highest since 2009 on Johan Sverdrup and Johan Castberg, and a special tax that expenses investment immediately keeps companies drilling despite the 78% rate. The UK is in structural decline, and a 78% headline rate after the Energy Profits Levy lost its investment allowance has pushed majors toward exits and joint ventures: fiscal design, more than geology, now decides which half of a shared basin gets reinvestment.
5.2 Russia
West Siberia is Russia’s oil engine and largest gas province: Samotlor, found in 1965, still produces under waterflood at water cuts above 90%, newer fields rely on fractured horizontal wells, and the dry-gas giants of Urengoy and Yamal feed pipelines and Yamal LNG. The older Volga-Ural basin’s heavy, high-sulphur crude turns Siberian Light into medium-sour Urals, while East Siberia and Sakhalin face Asia. For an investor the wrapper matters more than the rock: Western-held shares are frozen, sanctions and the price cap set the discount, and statistics are withheld.
5.3 The Caspian
The Caspian’s giants are deep, over-pressured carbonates under thick salt, full of light crude and sour gas. Tengiz holds an oil column over 1.5 kilometres tall about four kilometres down and re-injects its hydrogen-sulphide-rich gas; Kashagan, in shallow water that freezes in winter, was built on artificial islands and became a byword for overruns after sour-gas corrosion forced its pipelines to be replaced. Kazakh output rose 13% in 2025, but almost all of it leaves through the CPC pipeline across Russia — a single route drone strikes interrupted twice that year. Azerbaijan’s Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli is the mature, light sweet counterpoint, exported through BTC to Turkey.
6. Middle East
The Middle East is where every condition of the petroleum system lined up at once, over an area no other region matches. The result is a cluster of supergiant conventional fields that flow on their own pressure, are held up by water or gas injection, decline slowly and lift for a few dollars a barrel. Two provinces matter: the Arabian Basin, a broad platform of Jurassic and Cretaceous reservoirs under Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar and southern Iraq, and the Zagros fold belt of Iran and northern Iraq, where the same rocks were crumpled into giant anticlines. Nearly all of it is state-owned, and most of it ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
Table 9. Middle East basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin / fields | Country · setting | Resource class | Reservoir & age · trap | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method & production system |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arabian Basin onshore (Ghawar, Khurais) | Saudi Arabia · onshore | Conventional supergiant, plateau | Late Jurassic Arab-D oolitic limestone, porosity up to 35%; 280 × 30 km anticline over a basement fault block | Light–medium sour oil + associated gas | Arab Light 33.3° · 1.96%; Arab Extra Light 39.4° · 1.09% | Natural pressure held by peripheral seawater injection since 1965; gas-oil separation plants |
| Arabian Gulf offshore (Safaniya, Manifa) | Saudi Arabia · shallow offshore and causeway islands | Conventional supergiant | Cretaceous sandstones | Heavy sour oil | Arab Heavy 27.7° · 2.87% | Platforms with electric submersible pumps; drilling islands on a 41 km causeway (Manifa) |
| Jafurah | Saudi Arabia · onshore | Unconventional shale gas | Liquids-rich shale over 17,000 km² | Wet gas + condensate + ethane | — | Horizontal wells + fracturing |
| Zagros fold belt (Kirkuk, Kurdistan; Ahvaz, Marun, Gachsaran) | Iraq, Iran · onshore | Conventional, mature | Oligo-Miocene Asmari fractured limestone in giant anticlines, sealed by Gachsaran evaporites | Medium sour oil | Kirkuk 33.9° · 2.26%; Iran Light 33.1° · 1.50% | Fracture drainage; gas re-injection for pressure support (Iran) |
| Mesopotamian foreland (Rumaila, West Qurna, Majnoon) | Iraq · onshore | Conventional supergiant, growth | Cretaceous carbonates and sandstones in low-relief anticlines | Medium–heavy sour oil | Basrah Medium 27.9° · 3.00%; Basrah Heavy 24.0° · 4.05% | Water injection, supported by a seawater supply project; onshore wells to Gulf export terminals |
| Abu Dhabi onshore & Zakum | UAE · onshore and shallow offshore | Conventional, growth | Cretaceous carbonates | Light sour oil | Murban 40.0° · 0.77%; Upper Zakum 33.4° · 2.09% | Four artificial islands with extended-reach, maximum-reservoir-contact wells (Upper Zakum); water and gas injection |
| Greater Burgan | Kuwait · onshore | Conventional supergiant, mature | Albian–Cenomanian Burgan sandstone ~410 m thick; 35 × 20 km anticline | Medium sour oil | Kuwait Blend ~30° · ~2.7% | Natural water drive; cyclic steam for Lower Fars heavy oil |
| North Field / South Pars | Qatar, Iran · shallow offshore, ~65 m | Conventional non-associated gas-condensate | Permian–Triassic Khuff carbonates (Kangan–Dalan), ~3,000 m below seabed | Gas + condensate → LNG and pipeline | Condensate | Fixed wellhead jackets to onshore gas plants and LNG trains at Ras Laffan |
| Oman interior (PDO Block 6; Khazzan) | Oman · onshore | Mature conventional under EOR; tight gas | Carbonate and heavy-oil fields (Block 6); tight sandstones (Khazzan) | Medium sour and heavy oil; tight gas | Oman Blend 33.2° · 1.29% | Thermal (including solar-generated steam at Amal), polymer and gas EOR; horizontal + fracturing for tight gas |
Source: Saudi field geology per Wikipedia’s Ghawar Field article and Aramco (Jafurah); Manifa per Offshore Technology; Saudi grades per S&P Global (Arab Light) and Wikipedia’s list of crude oil products (Arab Extra Light, Arab Heavy, Kirkuk, Iran Light, Kuwait Blend — re-source from national marketing specifications before relying on them); Oman Blend per the S&P Global Platts Asia Pacific crude specifications, August 2026; Basrah grades per SOMO via S&P Global, 2020; Iraq water injection per U.S. EIA; Zagros per Wikipedia’s Zagros fold and thrust belt article; Burgan per GEO ExPro; Murban per U.S. EIA (Platts data), July 2026; Upper Zakum per the ExxonMobil Upper Zakum assay, January 2026, the basis used across this series (U.S. EIA and Platts give 33.2° · 2.09%); North Field per U.S. EIA; Oman per bp, Petroleum Development Oman (ownership; thermal, chemical and gas EOR) and Wikipedia’s Petroleum Development Oman article. Iraqi reservoir units and Oman field-by-field methods are simplified to the basin level.
Table 10. Middle East producers — production, reserves, operators and terms (2025 pre-disruption baselines)
| Country | Output (2025) | Proved reserves (end-2025) | Key operators (listing) | Fiscal regime | Cost & risk indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 11.2 MMbbl/d total liquids; Aramco 12.9 MMboe/d incl. 11.4 Bcf/d gas; capacity 12.0 MMbbl/d | 267 bn bbl (country); Aramco 186.5 bn bbl crude & condensate | Saudi Aramco — Public (Tadawul: 2222), ~81.5% state-owned directly | Concession; royalty 15% of value up to $70/bbl, 45% from $70–100, 80% above $100 | Upstream lifting cost $3.51/boe; East-West pipeline gives a partial Hormuz bypass (5 MMbbl/d usable for export) |
| Iran | 4.8 MMbbl/d total liquids; ~25.6 Bcf/d gas | 208.6 bn bbl | NIOC (state-owned) | Buyback and service-style contracts | US sanctions; exports mostly to China; a direct party to the 2026 conflict |
| Iraq | 4.5 MMbbl/d total liquids | ~140–145 bn bbl | Basra Oil Company (state-owned); BP (NYSE: BP) and PetroChina (HKEX: 0857) at Rumaila; TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE); Lukoil (MOEX: LKOH); Kurdistan: Gulf Keystone (LSE: GKP), DNO (OSE: DNO), Genel (LSE: GENL) | Technical service contracts paying a fee per barrel; production-sharing contracts in Kurdistan | Kurdistan’s export pipeline shut from March 2023 to September 2025 |
| UAE | 4.3 MMbbl/d total liquids; crude 3.4 MMbbl/d; effective capacity ~4.2 MMbbl/d | ~111–120 bn bbl | ADNOC (state-owned); BP (NYSE: BP), TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM, 28% of Upper Zakum), INPEX (TSE: 1605) as concession partners; ADNOC Drilling (ADX) listed | Equity concessions with partner stakes up to 40% | Left OPEC and OPEC+ on 1 May 2026; Fujairah pipeline bypass 1.8 MMbbl/d |
| Kuwait | 2.8 MMbbl/d total liquids | 101.5 bn bbl | Kuwait Oil Company / KPC (state-owned) | No foreign equity; service agreements | All exports transit Hormuz |
| Qatar | 1.9 MMbbl/d total liquids; ~17.8 Bcf/d gas; 77 Mtpa LNG capacity | 25.2 bn bbl; North Field ~900 Tcf recoverable | QatarEnergy (state-owned) with international joint-venture partners | LNG joint-venture equity | About 93% of LNG exports transit Hormuz, with no alternative route |
| Oman | 1.0 MMbbl/d total liquids; ~4.4 Bcf/d gas | ~4.8–5.4 bn bbl | PDO: government 60%, Shell 34% (NYSE: SHEL), TotalEnergies 4%; Block 61: BP 40% (NYSE: BP), OQ, PTTEP (SET: PTTEP), Petronas | Concession joint venture (PDO); production-sharing agreement (Block 61) | EOR raises cost; exports outside Hormuz |
Source: total liquids per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026, Tables 3a–3c (2025, including NGLs); Aramco production, reserves, lifting cost, royalty and ownership per its 2025 results and 2025 annual report legal section; gas output per the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2026 via Our World in Data, converted to Bcf/d; country reserves per the OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2026 (end-2025), with the U.S. EIA’s 145 bn bbl for Iraq and 111 bn bbl for the UAE shown as the other end of each range; Iraq contracts and pipeline per U.S. EIA and Iraq Business News; UAE capacity, OPEC exit and bypass pipelines per U.S. EIA, June 2026; Qatar per U.S. EIA and the IEA (Hormuz share of LNG exports; its 2026 status is in Section 6.3); Oman per bp. 2026 output is sharply below these 2025 baselines because of the Hormuz disruption. Listings: NIOC, Basra Oil Company, KOC, QatarEnergy and ADNOC are state-owned and unlisted.
6.1 The Arabian Basin supergiants
Ghawar is the archetype: one Late Jurassic limestone reservoir along a 280-kilometre fold, producing since 1951, its pressure held up by peripheral seawater injection since 1965. The template repeats across the basin — Kuwait’s Burgan sandstone on natural water drive, Abu Dhabi’s Upper Zakum drilled from artificial islands — and these barrels sit at the bottom of the world cost curve: Aramco lifted oil and gas for $3.51/boe in 2025. Capacity that cheap and that slow to decline can sit idle at little cost, which is why most of the world’s spare capacity — output restorable within weeks — is here (Table 10’s capacity and output rows). Qatar’s North Field, shared with Iran as South Pars, is the largest gas-condensate accumulation in the world, and Saudi Arabia’s Jafurah is the region’s first large unconventional gas development.
6.2 Iraq & the Zagros
Southern Iraq’s Rumaila, West Qurna and Majnoon are Arabian Basin supergiants with a poorer barrel — medium-heavy Basrah crude at 3–4% sulphur — whose growth depends on injecting enough water to hold pressure, and whose foreign partners earn a fixed service fee per barrel rather than oil. In the Zagros fold belt, Kirkuk, Kurdistan and Iran’s Ahvaz, Marun and Gachsaran produce mainly through natural fractures in Asmari limestone anticlines — and here above-ground risk dominates: Kurdistan’s exports were shut in for two and a half years by a pipeline dispute, and Iran’s fields sit under sanctions and, since February 2026, war.
6.3 Oman & the Hormuz factor
Oman is the Gulf’s mature-field laboratory, running thermal, polymer and gas enhanced oil recovery — including solar-generated steam at Amal — and tight-gas fracturing at Khazzan, and it exports from outside Hormuz. That matters, because the region’s biggest above-ground risk is now realised: after the conflict involving Iran began on 28 February 2026 the strait effectively closed, and flows through it fell from about 21.6 MMbbl/d in late 2025 to 4.9 MMbbl/d in the second quarter of 2026, according to the U.S. EIA’s August 2026 outlook, with producers that have bypass pipelines shutting in less. Qatar’s LNG has no bypass: Ras Laffan has been largely offline since an attack on 2 March 2026 (status at September 2026). The cheapest barrels in the world are also the most exposed to a single chokepoint.
7. Africa
Africa’s oil comes from two kinds of basin: North Africa’s onshore desert rifts and platforms, full of light, very sweet crude and, in Algeria, gas piped to Europe; and West Africa’s deltas and deepwater slopes, the geological twins of Brazil and Guyana, developed with FPSOs. In both, above-ground risk has mattered as much as the rock.
Table 11. African basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin | Country · setting | Resource class | Reservoir & age · trap | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method & production system |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niger Delta — onshore & shallow water | Nigeria · onshore, swamp and shelf | Conventional, mature | Tertiary deltaic sandstones in growth-fault rollover anticlines | Light sweet oil + associated and non-associated gas | Bonny Light 34.9° · 0.15%; Qua Iboe 37.3° · 0.12% | Flow stations and trunk pipelines to coastal export terminals |
| Niger Delta — deepwater (Bonga, Agbami, Egina, Akpo) | Nigeria · deepwater, ~1,000–1,500 m | Conventional | Miocene turbidite sandstones | Medium–light sweet oil; condensate-rich (Akpo, Agbami) | Bonga 29.4° · 0.25%; Egina 27.3° · 0.17%; Agbami ~48° · 0.04% | FPSOs with subsea wells; water and gas injection |
| Hassi Messaoud & Berkine | Algeria · onshore desert | Conventional, mature | Cambrian sandstone beneath a regional unconformity; Triassic sandstones (Berkine) | Very light sweet oil | Saharan Blend ~43–45° · ~0.1% | Gas injection for pressure maintenance |
| Hassi R’Mel | Algeria · onshore | Conventional supergiant gas-condensate | Triassic sandstone anticline sealed by Triassic salt | Wet gas + condensate → pipelines to Italy and Spain, LNG | Condensate | Gas cycling (re-injection of stripped gas) + compression |
| Sirte Basin (Waha, Sarir, Zelten, Amal) | Libya · onshore desert | Conventional, mature | Cambrian–Ordovician and Cretaceous sandstones, Paleocene carbonates, fractured basement; tilted horst blocks | Light sweet oil + associated gas | Es Sider 36.2° · 0.38% | Onshore fields piped to Es Sider, Ras Lanuf, Brega and Zueitina terminals |
| Murzuq Basin (El Sharara, Elephant) | Libya · onshore desert | Conventional | Ordovician sandstones | Very light sweet oil | Sharara 42.6° · 0.08% | Onshore fields piped to the Zawiya terminal |
| Lower Congo & Kwanza (Blocks 15, 17, 32) | Angola · deepwater, ~1,200–2,000 m | Conventional post-salt, mature; pre-salt frontier | Oligo-Miocene turbidite sandstones above the salt | Medium oil, some acidic | Girassol 30.0° · 0.34%; Dalia 23.0° · 0.50% (acidic); Pazflor 28.1° · 0.34% | FPSOs with subsea tiebacks; subsea gas-liquid separation and pumping for viscous oil (Pazflor); water and gas injection |
| Nile Delta deepwater (Zohr) | Egypt · deepwater, ~1,450 m | Conventional | Miocene carbonate reef with a 630 m gas column | Dry gas → domestic grid | — | Subsea wells tied back to an onshore plant |
| Senegal — Sangomar | Senegal · deepwater, ~100 km offshore | Conventional, new | Deepwater sandstones | Medium oil | Sangomar ~31° | FPSO with water and gas injection |
| Namibia — Orange Basin (Venus, Mopane) | Namibia · ultra-deep | Conventional frontier, pre-development | Deepwater sandstones | Light oil + associated gas | — | Planned FPSO |
Source: Sirte geology per Wikipedia’s Sirte Basin article, citing the USGS; Libyan and Nigerian assays per TotalEnergies crude assays (Es Sider 2018, Sharara 2020, Bonny Light 2020, Bonga 2015, Egina 2019) and ExxonMobil (Qua Iboe 2024; Pazflor 27 March 2026, which replaced a 2024 assay); Algeria per AAPG Bulletin, U.S. EIA (Saharan Blend 43.2° · 0.10%; other compilations give ~45°) and Oxford Business Group; Zohr per Eni; Agbami per U.S. EIA; Angola per ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies and TotalEnergies assays (Girassol, Dalia 2015); Sangomar per Woodside; Namibia per Galp. The Niger Delta trap description is the standard regional model rather than a field-by-field assessment.
Table 12. African producers — production, reserves, operators and terms
| Country / basin | Output | Proved reserves | Key operators (listing) | Fiscal regime | Cost & risk indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria (Niger Delta) | 1.67 MMbbl/d total liquids; ~1.42 MMbbl/d crude (2025) | 37.0 bn bbl; 215 Tcf gas (1 Jan 2026) | NNPC Ltd (state-owned); Shell (NYSE: SHEL), TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Eni (BIT: ENI) in deepwater; Seplat Energy (LSE: SEPL) and Aradel (NGX) onshore | Petroleum Industry Act 2021: royalty 15% onshore, 12.5% shallow water, 7.5% deepwater; 30% hydrocarbon tax onshore and shallow water only | Seplat unit production cost $15.7/boe (2025); crude theft and pipeline security |
| Algeria (Hassi Messaoud, Hassi R’Mel, Berkine) | 1.40 MMbbl/d total liquids; ~9.5 Bcf/d gas (2025) | 12.2 bn bbl; 159 Tcf | Sonatrach (state-owned); Eni (BIT: ENI), TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), Occidental (NYSE: OXY) | 2019 law: Sonatrach at least 51%; royalty 10%, hydrocarbon revenue tax 10–50%, income tax 30% | Rising domestic gas demand is squeezing exports |
| Libya (Sirte, Murzuq) | 1.37 MMbbl/d crude, a decade high (2025) | 48.4 bn bbl; 53 Tcf | National Oil Corporation (state-owned) with Eni (BIT: ENI), TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Repsol (BME: REP), OMV (VIE: OMV) | Exploration and production-sharing agreements; new sliding-scale terms in the 2025 round | Blockades: Sharara shut in January 2024; output below 0.6 MMbbl/d in the 2024 central-bank crisis |
| Angola (Lower Congo, Kwanza) | ~1.06 MMbbl/d total liquids (2025) | 2.6 bn bbl | Sonangol (state-owned); TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Equinor (NYSE: EQNR); Azule Energy (BP–Eni joint venture, private) | Production-sharing agreements; 50% petroleum income tax, cut to 25% on incremental production (2024 decree) | Decline from 1.8 MMbbl/d in 2014; left OPEC in January 2024 |
| Egypt (Nile Delta, Western Desert, Gulf of Suez) | 0.61 MMbbl/d liquids (2025); 4.6 Bcf/d gas (2024, −17%) | 3.3 bn bbl; 63 Tcf | EGPC & EGAS (state-owned); Zohr: Eni 50% (BIT: ENI), Rosneft 30% (MOEX: ROSN), BP 10% (NYSE: BP), Mubadala 10% (state-owned) | Production-sharing agreements | Zohr decline turned Egypt into a gas importer |
| Senegal (Sangomar) | 100 kbbl/d FPSO capacity; first oil June 2024 | — | Woodside 82% (ASX/NYSE: WDS); Petrosen 18% (state-owned) | Production-sharing contract | $4.9–5.2 bn development cost |
| Namibia (Orange Basin) | Pre-production; Venus concept 160 kbbl/d | Discovered, not yet booked | TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE), QatarEnergy (state-owned), Galp (ELI: GALP), Namcor (state-owned), Impact (private) | Production-sharing | Pre-final investment decision |
Source: Nigeria and Algeria total liquids per the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, September 2026, Table 3c (2025); Nigeria’s reserves per the NUPRC (37.01 bn bbl and 215.19 Tcf at 1 January 2026) and its crude-only average per NUPRC data as reported by Oilfield Technology, fiscal terms per Morgan Lewis and Seplat cost per its full-year 2025 results; Algeria per U.S. EIA and IBA, with gas per the Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2026 via Our World in Data (98 bcm, converted to Bcf/d); Libya per the National Oil Corporation via Libya Observer, U.S. EIA and Libya Analysis; Angola per U.S. EIA and Mayer Brown; Egypt per U.S. EIA and Eni; reserves for Algeria, Libya, Angola and Egypt per the Oil & Gas Journal as republished by U.S. EIA; Senegal per Woodside; Namibia per Galp. Output bases differ by country, as labelled.
7.1 North Africa’s desert basins
Libya holds Africa’s largest oil reserves in the Sirte Basin, a rift broken into tilted, uplifted fault blocks (horsts), and the Murzuq Basin, whose Sharara crude is among the lightest and sweetest traded. Geology is not the constraint — politics is: output fell below 0.6 MMbbl/d in the 2024 central-bank crisis and recovered to a decade-high 1.37 MMbbl/d in 2025. Algeria is mature and gas-heavy: Hassi Messaoud relies on gas injection, and the Hassi R’Mel gas-condensate supergiant anchors pipelines to Italy and Spain, but rising domestic demand is shrinking exports. Egypt tells the gas version: Zohr, a Miocene reef with a 630-metre gas column in the deepwater Nile Delta, is declining — national gas output fell 17% in 2024 — and that decline has turned the country into a gas importer.
7.2 West Africa’s deltas & deepwater
The Niger Delta is a textbook delta: Tertiary sandstones deformed by growth faults — faults that slipped while sediment was still piling up, rolling the sands into traps — hold light sweet oil onshore and in the swamps, and Miocene turbidites carry the play into deep water. Onshore Nigeria has been hollowed out by crude theft, and the majors have sold onshore joint ventures to local independents such as Seplat while keeping deepwater FPSO fields, which are beyond the pipeline thieves and pay lower royalties under the 2021 Petroleum Industry Act. Angola’s output comes almost entirely from deepwater Oligo-Miocene turbidites above the salt, produced by FPSOs and declining without new projects; the pre-salt, Senegal’s Sangomar and Namibia’s Orange Basin are the frontier — Sangomar producing since June 2024, Namibia’s Venus discovery planned around a 160 kbbl/d FPSO but still short of a final investment decision.
8. Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific is the largest oil-importing region and a modest producer, but an instructive one: China runs some of the world’s largest enhanced-recovery projects, Asia’s deepest wells and the largest shale-gas industry outside North America; Australia is almost purely a gas-for-LNG province; and Southeast Asia combines mature waxy crudes, a giant steamflood and oil in fractured granite.
Table 13. Asia Pacific basins — deposit characteristics
| Basin | Country · setting | Resource class | Reservoir & age · trap | Hydrocarbon | Crude stream (API · sulphur) | Extraction method & production system |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordos (Changqing, Sulige) | China · onshore | Unconventional tight oil and tight gas | Triassic tight sandstones (oil); Permian tight sandstones (gas) | Light oil; dry gas | — | Horizontal wells + multistage fracturing; more than 30,000 gas wells |
| Bohai Bay (Shengli, Liaohe; offshore Bohai) | China · onshore and shallow offshore | Conventional, mature; large heavy-oil share | Paleogene rift-basin sandstones | Medium–heavy oil | Shengli 24.2° · 0.84% | Waterflood; steam for heavy oil onshore and, at scale, offshore; jacket platforms |
| Songliao (Daqing; Gulong) | China · onshore | Conventional super-mature; shale oil emerging | Cretaceous lake-deposited sandstones at 900–1,200 m; Cretaceous shale (Gulong) | Waxy medium sweet oil | Daqing 31.9° · 0.13%, 20–30% wax | Waterflood at ~95% water cut, plus polymer and alkaline-surfactant-polymer flooding |
| Tarim (Tahe, Shunbei, Fuman) | China · onshore desert | Conventional ultra-deep | Ordovician fault-controlled fractured and cavernous carbonates at 7,300–10,000 m | Light oil, condensate and gas | — | Ultra-deep wells — to 10,910 m; rapid and uneven decline |
| Sichuan (Changning-Weiyuan, Fuling; Puguang) | China · onshore | Unconventional shale gas; conventional sour gas | Ordovician–Silurian Wufeng–Longmaxi shale; Permian–Triassic dolomite reefs (Puguang) | Dry gas; high-H₂S gas (Puguang) | — | Horizontal wells + fracturing; sour-gas processing |
| Junggar (Mahu, Jimsar) | China · onshore | Unconventional tight and shale oil | Triassic conglomerate (Mahu); Permian shale (Jimsar) | Oil | — | Horizontal wells + fracturing |
| South China Sea (Liuhua; Lingshui 17-2) | China · offshore, ~300 m to >1,500 m | Conventional | Offshore sandstones and reefs | Heavy oil (Liuhua); gas (Lingshui) | — | Deepwater jacket + cylindrical FPSO (Liuhua); semi-submersible production and storage platform (Deep Sea No. 1) |
| Northern Carnarvon (North West Shelf, Gorgon, Wheatstone, Scarborough) | Australia · offshore, shelf to ~1,300 m | Conventional gas-condensate | Triassic–Jurassic sandstones | Gas + condensate → LNG; Gorgon gas ~15% CO₂ | Cossack 48.8° · 0.03%; North West Shelf condensate 63° · 0.003% | Subsea wells and platforms piped to onshore LNG plants; CO₂ re-injection at Gorgon |
| Browse & Bonaparte (Ichthys, Prelude, Barossa) | Australia · offshore, ~250 m | Conventional gas-condensate | Offshore sandstones | Gas + condensate → LNG | Ichthys condensate 48.9° · 0.01% | Semi-submersible processing + FPSO + 890 km pipeline (Ichthys); floating LNG (Prelude); FPSO to Darwin LNG (Barossa) |
| Bowen-Surat | Australia · onshore Queensland | Unconventional coal-seam gas | Jurassic and Permian coal seams | Dry gas → Curtis Island LNG and the east-coast market | — | Thousands of shallow wells that pump water off the coal so gas desorbs |
| Central Sumatra (Minas, Duri) | Indonesia · onshore | Conventional, mature | Tertiary sandstones | Light waxy (Minas) and heavy (Duri) oil | Minas 33.9° · 0.08%; Duri 21.7° · 0.18% | Conventional wells (Minas); one of the world’s largest steamfloods, since 1985 (Duri) |
| East Java — Cepu (Banyu Urip) | Indonesia · onshore | Conventional | Carbonate reservoir | Light–medium oil | Banyu Urip 32.8° · 0.32% | Onshore processing piped to a floating storage vessel |
| Malay Basin & Sabah (Tapis; Kikeh, Gumusut-Kakap) | Malaysia · shelf and deepwater to ~1,330 m | Conventional; mature shelf, deepwater growth | Tertiary sandstones; Miocene carbonates (Central Luconia gas) | Light sweet oil; gas → Bintulu LNG | Tapis 45.8° · 0.03%; Kimanis 36.1° · 0.06%; Kikeh 34.9° · 0.08% | Jacket platforms; spar + FPSO (Kikeh); semi-submersible (Gumusut-Kakap); floating LNG |
| Cuu Long (Bach Ho) | Vietnam · shallow offshore | Conventional, mature | Fractured granite basement | Light sweet waxy oil | Bach Ho 40.0° · 0.04% | Fixed platforms |
Source: all crude specifications per the S&P Global Platts Asia Pacific & Middle East crude specifications, August 2026; Daqing per CNPC and PetroChina via GlobeNewswire; Bohai per Global Times; Ordos per China Daily; Tarim per CGTN and Offshore Technology; Sichuan per Energy Geoscience; Junggar per Xinhua; South China Sea per CNOOC; Australian basins per Geoscience Australia, Chevron and INPEX; Malaysia per PETRONAS and Offshore Technology; Indonesia per Global Energy Monitor and ExxonMobil, with Duri’s steamflood (“since 1985”, “one of the largest steamflood developments in the world”) per Chevron, 2018; Bach Ho per Wikipedia’s Bach Ho oil field article. Reservoir descriptions are simplified to the basin level.
Table 14. Asia Pacific basins — production, reserves, operators and terms
| Country / basin | Output | Proved reserves | Key operators (listing) | Fiscal regime | Cost indicator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China (all basins) | 4.32 MMbbl/d crude; 25.3 Bcf/d gas (2025) | Varies widely by source | PetroChina — Public (SSE: 601857; HKEX: 0857); Sinopec — Public (SSE: 600028; HKEX: 0386); CNOOC Ltd — Public (HKEX: 0883; SSE: 600938); all state-controlled | State companies onshore; production-sharing contracts with CNOOC offshore; resource tax on sales | PetroChina lifting cost $12.04/bbl; CNOOC all-in cost $27.9/boe (2025) |
| — Ordos (Changqing) | >60 Mtoe/yr oil & gas (~1.2 MMboe/d); gas 5.0 Bcf/d (2025) | — | PetroChina | — | — |
| — Bohai (offshore) | >40 Mtoe (~0.8 MMboe/d) (2025) | — | CNOOC Ltd | — | — |
| — Songliao (Daqing) | ~30 Mt/yr crude (~0.6 MMbbl/d); >40 Mtoe/yr oil & gas | — | PetroChina | — | — |
| — Tarim | 20.5 Mtoe from wells deeper than 6,000 m (2024) | — | PetroChina, Sinopec | — | — |
| Australia — Northern Carnarvon | Gorgon 15.6 Mtpa and Wheatstone ~8.9 Mtpa LNG; Scarborough 8 Mtpa from Q4 2026 | 41.4 Tcf gas (2P) | Woodside (ASX/NYSE: WDS); Chevron (NYSE: CVX); ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM); Shell (NYSE: SHEL) | Concession: royalty or excise + 40% petroleum resource rent tax + income tax | Woodside unit production cost $7.8/boe (2025) |
| Australia — Browse & Bonaparte | Ichthys 9.3 Mtpa LNG; Prelude 3.6 Mtpa; Barossa to Darwin LNG 3.7 Mtpa | 17.2 Tcf gas (2P) | INPEX 67.82% (TSE: 1605); TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE); Shell (NYSE: SHEL); Santos (ASX: STO) | Concession + resource rent tax | Santos unit production cost below $7/boe, excluding Bayu-Undan (2025) |
| Australia — Bowen-Surat | 1,665 PJ coal-seam gas (2024); three LNG projects of ~7.8–9 Mtpa each | 25.7 Tcf coal-seam gas (2P) | Shell (QCLNG); Origin (ASX: ORG), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and Sinopec (APLNG); Santos (GLNG) | Concession + resource rent tax | — |
| Indonesia | 605 kbbl/d oil & condensate lifting; ~5.3 Bcf/d sales gas (2025) | 2.3 bn bbl; 34 Tcf | Pertamina (state-owned; Rokan block); ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM, Cepu operator); BP (NYSE: BP, Tangguh LNG operator); Medco (IDX: MEDC) | Production-sharing contracts — cost recovery or gross split | — |
| Malaysia | 503 kbbl/d crude & condensate; 8.1 Bcf/d gas (2025) | 2.7 bn bbl; 32 Tcf | PETRONAS (state-owned) with contractors incl. Shell (NYSE: SHEL) and PTTEP (SET: PTTEP) | Production-sharing contracts; 38% petroleum income tax | — |
| Vietnam (Cuu Long) | ~0.19 MMbbl/d (2025 est.) | 4.4 bn bbl | PetroVietnam (state-owned); Vietsovpetro (PetroVietnam 51%, Zarubezhneft 49%) | Production-sharing contracts | — |
Source: China national output per the National Bureau of Statistics via Hydrocarbon Processing (converted at 7.3 bbl/t); PetroChina lifting cost per its 2025 annual results and CNOOC per its 2025 results release; Changqing per Global Times (51.42 bcm of gas in 2025); Bohai per Global Times; Daqing per CNPC and Wikipedia’s Daqing Oil Field article (crude rate dated 2021); Tarim per CGTN; Australian reserves and coal-seam gas output per Geoscience Australia (end-2024); LNG capacities per Chevron, Woodside, INPEX, INPEX (Prelude, 3.6 Mtpa), Santos and the U.S. EIA Australia brief; Woodside cost per its 2025 results and Santos per its fourth-quarter 2025 report (“below $7/boe (excluding Bayu Undan)”); resource rent tax per PwC; Indonesia per SKK Migas via Antara; Malaysia per DOSM and PwC; reserves for Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam and Vietnam’s output per the Oil & Gas Journal worldwide survey, 1 January 2026. China’s basin rows are reported in tonnes of oil equivalent and are not additive to the national total; PETRONAS, Pertamina and PetroVietnam are state-owned and unlisted.
8.1 China
Many of China’s basins are lake-deposited (lacustrine) rift and foreland basins, giving oil that is waxy, low in sulphur and in places heavy, in reservoirs that are mature, tight or very deep. Daqing, discovered in 1959, has produced for over sixty years with water, then polymers and surfactants, and now runs at about 95% water cut — one of the world’s largest polymer-flooding operations. Growth has moved to the Ordos Basin’s tight oil and gas (Changqing added more than 1,900 wells in 2025), the Tarim Basin’s carbonate caverns below 8,000 metres, the Sichuan Basin’s Longmaxi shale gas and offshore Bohai. All of it is produced by three state-controlled listed companies at costs well above the Gulf’s.
8.2 Australia
Australia’s hydrocarbons are overwhelmingly gas. The offshore Northern Carnarvon, Browse and Bonaparte basins hold gas and ultra-light condensate piped to onshore LNG plants or, at Prelude, liquefied at sea; onshore Queensland’s Bowen-Surat coal-seam gas comes from thousands of shallow dewatered wells feeding three LNG plants on Curtis Island. The deposits bring their own costs — Gorgon’s gas is about 15% CO₂, which is separated and re-injected — and a 40% resource rent tax on project profits.
8.3 Southeast Asia
Southeast Asia is a region of mature Tertiary basins. Malaysia’s Tapis is one of the lightest, sweetest crudes in the world and its gas feeds Bintulu LNG; Indonesia’s Duri has produced heavy but low-sulphur oil by steamflood since 1985 — thermal recovery on a conventional reservoir, unlike Alberta’s oil sands; and Vietnam’s Bach Ho stores its oil in fractured granite. The region runs on production-sharing contracts with state companies, and its oil output is in long decline even as gas stays strategic.
9. What drives basin economics
Every regional table reduces to one question: what does a barrel cost here, how much of its price does the producer keep, and how long does it last? Five drivers set the answer, all of them basin traits (production-cost anatomy is in the cost guide; the global cost curve in Part 1: Upstream, “The cost curve & breakevens”).
- Hydrocarbon window and crude quality. Oil is worth several times an energy-equivalent unit of dry gas, and light sweet crude more than heavy sour, so condensate-rich or light-crude basins can carry costs that would sink a dry-gas or bitumen project — and the quality gap in Figure 2 is permanent.
- Reservoir quality and depth. Thick, permeable, over-pressured rock (Ghawar, the pre-salt) flows at high rates from few wells; tight rock needs many fractured wells; ultra-deep rock (Tarim, Kashagan) needs expensive ones.
- Extraction method and decline. Shale must be re-drilled continuously; deepwater commits billions up front, then holds a plateau; waterflooded supergiants decline a few per cent a year; oil sands barely decline — cheap-and-fast-declining against expensive-and-durable.
- Fiscal regime and ownership. A concession barrel is owned and taxed, a production-sharing barrel is shared after cost recovery, and a service contract pays a fee — so the same deposit is a different investment in Norway (78% marginal tax, investment expensed), Guyana (2% royalty, 50/50 profit oil) or southern Iraq (a dollar or two per barrel).
- Above-ground access. Takeaway (Appalachia, Vaca Muerta), export routes (CPC, Hormuz), sanctions (Russia, Iran, Venezuela) and security (Libya, the Niger Delta) decide how much of a basin’s potential reaches a market.
Table 15 lines up the published cost indicators by the bases defined in Table 1 — ranking basins on one mixed column is the commonest mistake.
Table 15. Published cost indicators across the world’s basins, by what they measure
| Basin / producer | Metric | Value | What the number includes | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arabian Basin — Aramco | Upstream lifting cost | $3.51/boe | Cash cost of producing from existing fields | 2025 |
| Santos pre-salt — Petrobras | Lifting cost | $4.19/boe ($6.87 with FPSO leases) | Cash operating cost | 2025 |
| Carnarvon & Browse LNG — Woodside, Santos | Unit production cost | $7.8/boe (Woodside); below $7/boe (Santos, excluding Bayu-Undan) | Company-defined production cost | 2025 |
| China onshore — PetroChina | Lifting cost | $12.04/bbl | Cash operating cost | 2025 |
| Niger Delta — Seplat | Unit production cost | $15.7/boe | Company-defined production cost | 2025 |
| Campos deep post-salt — Petrobras | Lifting cost | $17.25/boe | Cash operating cost of mature deepwater | 2025 |
| UK North Sea — industry average | Unit operating cost | £19.49/boe | Field operating cost | 2024 |
| Venezuela — Chevron joint ventures | Total cost | Below $20/bbl | Company statement; components not itemised | 2026 |
| China offshore — CNOOC | All-in cost | $27.9/boe | Company-defined; not itemised in the results release | 2025 |
| Alberta oil sands | Half-cycle breakeven | ~$27/bbl average ($18–45) | Operating cost, diluent, transport to Cushing and the heavy–light differential, WTI basis | 2025 |
| US shale — all regions | Half-cycle breakeven (existing wells) | ~$41/bbl WTI | Operating expenses on producing wells | 2025 |
| Guyana — Stabroek projects | Project breakeven | ~$25–35/bbl Brent | Full-cycle, per development | 2022 |
| US shale — regional range | New-well (full-cycle) breakeven | $61–70/bbl WTI | Drilling and completing a new well, by region | 2025 |
| Permian | New-well (full-cycle) breakeven | $65/bbl WTI (2025); $67/bbl (2026) | Drilling and completing a new well | 2025–26 |
| Alberta — greenfield SAGD | Full-cycle breakeven | $80/bbl+ | New thermal project including capital | 2025 |
| Vaca Muerta | Well breakeven (basis not stated) | ~$32–49/bbl | Most prospective blocks; the source does not say what is included | 2026 |
Source: Aramco 2025 results; Petrobras 4Q25 report; Woodside 2025 results and Santos fourth-quarter 2025 report (excluding Bayu-Undan); PetroChina 2025 annual results; Seplat full-year 2025 results; NSTA benchmarking, 2024; Chevron per its September 2026 release (“total costs of less than $20 per barrel”); CNOOC 2025 results release; oil sands half-cycle per S&P Global Commodity Insights, June 2025, and greenfield SAGD per Enverus as cited in Part 1: Upstream, “The cost curve & breakevens”; Guyana per OilNOW; Vaca Muerta per Rystad Energy, May 2026; US shale per the Dallas Fed Energy Survey, March 2025, and March 2026. Rows are grouped by what the number measures — operating costs, then all-in and total costs, then half-cycle breakevens (keeping existing wells and plants running) and full-cycle breakevens (new wells and projects) — and ordered cheapest first within each group, as on a cost curve; values in different groups are not comparable. The Vaca Muerta row sits apart because its source does not state its basis; company-defined costs follow each company’s own definition.
9.1 Cheap to lift is not cheap to find
Table 15 makes Table 1’s last row concrete. Aramco’s $3.51 and Petrobras’s $4.19 are lifting costs: they keep existing wells flowing. The Permian’s $65–67 is a new-well (full-cycle) breakeven that prices the next barrel, which governs shale because output falls unless drilling continues. Guyana’s $25–35 and greenfield SAGD’s $80-plus are project full-cycle breakevens that include the up-front capital, so a deepwater province with a $4 lifting cost can need many times that to justify a new project. The durable ranking has two axes: what the next barrel costs to find and develop, and how long it flows once the money is spent — with the fiscal regime deciding how much of the difference the company keeps.
10. How to read an E&P by its basins
Bring it together at the screen: a producer is a weighted average of the basins it holds, so start with the basin map, not the share price.
A basin-first checklist for any E&P, anywhere:
- Where is the acreage? A Permian shale producer, a pre-salt partner, an oil sands integrated and a North Sea taxpayer are four different businesses — do not compare them on one multiple (Sections 3–8).
- Which window, and which crude? Light sweet streams (Bakken, Brent, Guyana) earn near the benchmark; heavy sour ones (WCS, Maya, Merey, Basrah Heavy) earn a structural discount; condensate and NGLs price on their own curves (Table 1, Figure 2).
- How is it produced? Shale needs continuous capital, deepwater up-front capital, waterflooded supergiants little, and thermal or extra-heavy barrels energy and diluent (Table 1; each region’s deposit table).
- Where does it sit on the cost curve — and which cost is quoted? Use Table 15, and never set a lifting cost against a breakeven (Section 9.1).
- How long is the runway? Count years of quality inventory or reserves at the current decline, not this year’s output (Table 1’s decline row).
- Who else owns the barrel? A concession barrel, a production-sharing barrel and a service fee are three different exposures to the same oil price (Section 9, driver 4).
- What is the above-ground risk? Takeaway, export routes, sanctions, security and chokepoints can matter more than the rock (Section 9, driver 5).
The checklist at work — two hypothetical producers. Producer A holds US shale oil in the Permian plus Haynesville gas; Producer B holds a minority stake in Brazilian pre-salt fields. Both are hypothetical illustrations built from this guide’s basin figures, not real companies. Table 16 runs the seven questions.
Table 16. The basin-first checklist applied to two hypothetical producers
| Question | Producer A — Permian shale oil + Haynesville gas | Producer B — minority pre-salt partner | Where in this guide |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Where is the acreage? | Two US onshore unconventional plays | Santos Basin pre-salt, ultra-deep water | Sections 3.1–3.2, 4.2 |
| 2. Which window, which crude? | Light sweet oil priced off WTI; dry gas priced off Henry Hub | Light–medium sweet crude, ~29–31° API and ~0.3% sulphur; CO₂-rich gas mostly re-injected | Tables 2 and 5, Figure 2 |
| 3. How is it produced? | Horizontal wells + multistage fracturing, drilled continuously | FPSOs with subsea wells, capital committed years before first oil | Tables 2 and 5 |
| 4. What does it cost — on which basis? | New-well (full-cycle) breakeven $65–67/bbl WTI (Permian); gas ~$2.75–3.50/MMBtu (Haynesville) | Lifting cost $4.19/boe, $6.87/boe with FPSO leases (Petrobras, an operating cost, not a breakeven) | Tables 3, 6 and 15 |
| 5. How long is the runway? | Output falls more than 35% within a year without new wells, so the runway is the drilling inventory | A plateau, then ~10% a year post-peak decline for deep offshore fields, so the runway is reserves plus the next FPSO | Table 1 and its source |
| 6. Who else owns the barrel? | Concession: owns the barrel, pays royalty and tax | Production-sharing inside the pre-salt polygon: the state takes a bid share of profit oil | Section 4.2, Section 9 |
| 7. What is the above-ground risk? | Associated-gas takeaway in the Permian; Haynesville’s case rests on Gulf Coast LNG demand | A state-controlled operator and a fiscal regime set in Brasília | Sections 3.1–3.2, Table 6 |
Source: hypothetical illustration; every basin figure is taken from Tables 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 15 of this guide, with the sources and vintages given there. Not the profile of any company.
The answers split at question 1 and never rejoin. A is a short-cycle drilling business priced on a new-well breakeven, with a runway measured in undrilled wells; B is a long-cycle project partner whose $4 lifting cost says little about the next FPSO’s return, and whose share of each barrel is set by contract. One multiple for both would set a running cost against a breakeven.
This is a framework for reading the business, not investment advice — and it is the sieve the Metal Pilot upstream screener is built around. To rank producers by basin, production, reserve life, netback and cost, screen them on Metal Pilot’s upstream oil & gas stock screener.
11. Summary
The world’s oil and gas comes from a few dozen basins that matter, and the basin — not the company — sets a barrel’s quality, extraction method, cost, decline and running room. Beyond the filings’ four cuts, this guide reads every basin on the same deposit parameters: reservoir and trap, API gravity and sulphur, extraction method, production system, decline and fiscal regime.
North America is the continent of variety: the Permian’s stacked shale makes 48% of US crude, Appalachia is the dry-gas heartland, the oil sands hold about 159 billion barrels of long-life bitumen, and the Gulf of America adds 1.9 MMbbl/d of deepwater oil while Mexico’s heavy Campeche giants decline. South America pairs the largest reserves in the extra-heavy Orinoco with the fastest deepwater growth in the pre-salt and Guyana, and Vaca Muerta shale. Europe and the Caspian set the mature, heavily taxed North Sea against sanctioned West Siberia and the deep, sour carbonates of Tengiz and Kashagan. The Middle East’s supergiants hold about 55% of proved crude reserves at the lowest lifting costs on Earth — and, as the still-unresolved 2026 disruption shows, the greatest chokepoint exposure. Africa trades light sweet desert crude and deepwater turbidites against above-ground risk, and Asia Pacific combines China’s mature, tight and ultra-deep basins, Australia’s LNG gas and Southeast Asia’s waxy crudes.
The lesson is that cost and durability are basin traits — read on the right basis, because a lifting cost, an all-in cost and a breakeven measure different things — and that the terms around a deposit matter as much as the deposit. Read any producer as the weighted average of its basins, use the Section 10 checklist, and take the analysis to the company level on Metal Pilot’s upstream oil & gas stock screener.
Next in the series → Follow the barrel out of the basin with Part 2: Midstream, or go back to the wellhead mechanics in Part 1: Upstream.
12. Vocabulary
Table 17. Key terms used in this guide
| Term | Plain-language meaning | Why it matters to an investor |
|---|---|---|
| Basin / play | A large geological bowl of sedimentary rock where hydrocarbons formed and are trapped; a play is one productive formation within it (e.g. Wolfcamp, Marcellus, pre-salt) | The fundamental reporting and investing unit for upstream; companies report acreage by play |
| E&P / upstream | Exploration and production — finding and producing oil and gas | The company type this guide is about |
| Conventional / unconventional | Oil or gas in porous rock that flows to an ordinary well, vs. oil or gas that needs fracturing, heat, dilution, dewatering or mining | Conventional: slower decline, discrete fields; unconventional includes shale, tight, coal-seam gas, oil sands and extra-heavy oil |
| Tight oil / shale (continuous play) | Hydrocarbons in very low-permeability rock spread across a wide area without a discrete trap, produced with horizontal wells and fracturing | Short-cycle, steep decline, developed like a factory — the world’s swing supply |
| Hydrocarbon window | How thermally mature the source rock is — oil, condensate/wet gas or dry gas | Decides the product mix and which price a producer earns |
| Associated gas | Natural gas produced alongside oil | Needs takeaway or re-injection; can cap oil activity |
| Condensate | An ultra-light liquid produced with gas | Earns an oil-linked price; used to dilute bitumen |
| NGLs | Natural gas liquids — ethane, propane and butane separated from wet gas | Priced on their own curves, below crude |
| API gravity / sweet vs sour | The industry density scale for crude (higher is lighter); low-sulphur (below ~0.5%) vs. high-sulphur crude | Lighter, sweeter crude yields more fuel and earns more; sour crude costs refiners more |
| Crude stream / differential | The marketed blend from a basin (e.g. WCS, Urals, Merey 16, CPC Blend) and its price gap to a benchmark | The price a producer realises is set by its stream, not the benchmark |
| Brent / WTI / Henry Hub | The North Sea and US light sweet crude benchmarks; the Louisiana hub that sets the US gas benchmark | Reference prices that differentials are quoted against |
| Bitumen / extra-heavy oil | Tar-like oil that does not flow at reservoir temperature (Alberta); oil below 10° API still mobile in a warm reservoir (Orinoco) | Bitumen is mined or steamed; extra-heavy oil is produced cold with diluent — both very long life |
| Diluent / dilbit | A light hydrocarbon (condensate, naphtha) blended into heavy oil so it can flow; dilbit is bitumen thinned that way | A cost the producer buys and ships with every heavy barrel |
| Synthetic crude (SCO) | Bitumen or extra-heavy oil upgraded on site into a light crude | Sells near light-crude prices, at an upgrading cost |
| Reservoir / carbonate | The porous rock that holds oil or gas; a carbonate reservoir is limestone or dolomite | Reservoir quality sets well rates and recovery; carbonates host most Middle East and pre-salt oil |
| Turbidite | Sandstone deposited by underwater avalanches on a continental slope | The main deepwater reservoir of the Gulf, Guyana, Angola and Nigeria |
| Pre-salt | Reservoirs lying beneath a thick salt layer (Brazil, Angola) | Prolific but deep, expensive and once hard to image |
| Anticline / stratigraphic trap | An arch-shaped fold that traps hydrocarbons at its crest; a trap formed by changes in rock type rather than folding | Anticlines hold the Middle East supergiants; stratigraphic traps are harder to find |
| Fault block / horst / growth fault | Rock bounded and tilted by faults; an uplifted fault block; a fault that slipped while sediment was still being deposited | The traps of the North Sea, the Sirte Basin and the Niger Delta |
| Supergiant field | A field with more than about 5 billion barrels recoverable | Low cost and slow decline; concentrated in the Middle East |
| Waterflood / gas re-injection | Injecting water, or pumping produced gas back, to push oil toward wells and hold up pressure | The standard secondary recovery methods; re-injection also stores gas or CO₂ with no market |
| EOR | Enhanced oil recovery — CO₂, steam, polymer, nitrogen or chemicals to raise recovery | Adds reserves in mature fields at extra cost |
| Steamflood / CSS / SAGD | Continuous steam injection; cyclic steam stimulation in the same well; steam-assisted gravity drainage with paired horizontal wells | Thermal methods for heavy oil and oil sands — high capex, low decline |
| CHOPS | Cold heavy oil production with sand — producing sand deliberately to open flow paths | Cheap, low-recovery heavy-oil method (Lloydminster) |
| Coal-seam gas (CSG / CBM) | Methane adsorbed on coal, released by pumping water off the seam | Feeds Queensland’s LNG exports |
| Water cut | The share of water in a well’s or field’s liquid output | High water cut signals a mature, costly field |
| Decline curve | The rate at which output falls over time | Shale declines fast; supergiants and oil sands slowly |
| FPSO / FLNG | Floating production, storage and offloading vessel; floating liquefied natural gas vessel | The standard deepwater system where no pipeline exists; FLNG liquefies gas at sea (Prelude) |
| TLP / spar / semi-submersible / gravity-base structure | Floating platforms held by tendons, a deep hull or mooring; a heavy concrete platform standing on the seabed | Deepwater hubs in the Gulf of America; gravity-base structures in iceberg-prone water (Hibernia, Hebron, Troll) |
| Subsea tieback | Seabed wells piped to an existing host facility | The cheapest way to add offshore barrels |
| Shelf / deepwater / ultra-deep / OCS | Shallow vs. deep vs. very deep offshore settings; the Outer Continental Shelf is US federal offshore acreage | Depth drives capital, lead time and the production system |
| Lifting cost / all-in cost | The cash cost of producing from existing wells; the same plus depreciation, non-income taxes and overheads | Low lifting cost is not the same as a low breakeven |
| Breakeven: half-cycle vs full-cycle | The price that keeps existing wells or plants running (operating cost, plus diluent, transport and quality discount where they apply), vs. the price that also earns back the capital of a new well or project | Must be read with its basis; why shale, oil sands and deepwater numbers are not comparable |
| Proved reserves (1P) / 2P | Oil and gas reasonably certain to be produced under current conditions; proved plus probable | Compare only the same category and basis; 2P is common outside SEC filings |
| boe | Barrels of oil equivalent — gas at ~6 Mcf per barrel | Sums a mixed oil-and-gas producer to one number |
| Gas & LNG units | Mcf (thousand cubic feet) · MMBtu (million British thermal units) · Bcf/d (billion cubic feet a day) · Tcf (trillion cubic feet) · Mtpa (million tonnes a year) · Mtoe (million tonnes of oil equivalent) | Flow vs. stock; the units used for gas prices, LNG plants and Chinese production |
| LNG | Liquefied natural gas — gas cooled to a liquid for shipping | Links basins such as Qatar, Carnarvon and the Haynesville to world gas prices |
| Takeaway / chokepoint | Pipeline capacity to move oil or gas out of a basin; a narrow shipping route most exports must pass (e.g. Hormuz) | Either can strand production or cut off a whole region |
| Spare capacity | Production that is idle but can be restored within weeks | Held mostly by low-cost Gulf producers; the market’s first shock absorber |
| NOC | National oil company — a state-owned producer (Aramco, NIOC, Pemex, PDVSA) | Controls most of the world’s reserves; many are unlisted |
| Concession / PSC / service contract | The company owns production and pays royalty and tax; the state owns the oil and the company recovers costs and shares profit oil; the company is paid a fee per barrel | The same deposit is a different investment under each |
| Resource rent tax / Energy Profits Levy | A tax on project profits after investment is recovered (Australia’s PRRT); the UK’s windfall tax on oil and gas profits | Take a large share of upside; the levy lifts the UK headline rate to 78% |
| Sanctions / price cap | Legal limits on trading with a producer or on the price its oil can be sold for | Discounts Russian, Iranian and, historically, Venezuelan barrels |
Source: definitions compiled from the agencies, assays and filings cited beneath each table, Part 1: Upstream and standard industry usage.
13. Sources, methodology & disclaimer
13.1 Sources, methodology & data vintage
North America. US production from the U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (September 2026 regional tables) and U.S. crude oil production rose in 2025; US reserves from the U.S. EIA proved reserves report (year-end 2024); breakevens from the Dallas Fed Energy Survey (March 2025 and March 2026); Canada from CAPP, the Canada Energy Regulator and the Alberta Energy Regulator; Mexico from Pemex’s 2025 Form 20-F and results as reported by Mexico Business News; offshore from BOEM and Woodside.
Rest of the world. South America from the ANP and Petrobras, ExxonMobil Guyana, Argentina’s Secretaría de Energía, the USGS and the U.S. EIA; Europe and the Caspian from the Norwegian Offshore Directorate (December 2025 production figures and The Shelf in 2025), the NSTA reserves and resources report, DESNZ, the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies and operator disclosures; the Middle East from Aramco, the U.S. EIA country analyses and the OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin; Africa from the NUPRC, Libya’s National Oil Corporation, the U.S. EIA and operator disclosures; Asia Pacific from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, company annual reports (PetroChina, CNOOC, Woodside, Santos), Geoscience Australia, DOSM and SKK Migas. Country reserves not published by a national agency come from the Oil & Gas Journal worldwide survey (1 January 2026). Crude qualities come from the S&P Global Platts crude specifications (August 2026), ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, Equinor, CrudeMonitor and national marketing specifications; decline benchmarks from the IEA. Operator lists are compiled from company filings and are illustrative of each basin’s principal producers, not exhaustive.
Methodology & data vintage. Basin definitions, geology, deposit parameters, extraction methods and fiscal-regime types are treated as evergreen. Production is stated as 2025 rates unless labelled, reserves as the latest published year-end, and costs with their year and basis; figures are rounded. Production bases differ by source and are labelled in each cell — crude only, crude and condensate, or total liquids including NGLs — and gas is marketed or gross as the source reports it, so country rows are not strictly additive across tables. Figures converted from tonnes use ~7.3 barrels per tonne, and gas in cubic metres uses 35.3 cubic feet per cubic metre. Crude qualities are published blend specifications or assay averages; where sources disagree the table notes it. Where an agency table could not be retrieved, a figure is taken from a named secondary report and should be re-sourced before use — notably OPEC reserve figures, some Middle East grade specifications, Colombia and parts of Russia, which withholds official statistics. Middle East 2025 figures predate the 2026 Hormuz disruption, and 2026 output is materially lower. Company listings and ownership status are structural facts, not valuations.
13.2 Disclaimer & disclosure
This guide is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Oil and gas basin data — production, reserves, crude qualities, costs, fiscal terms and operators — are estimates as of the dates stated and change continually with drilling, prices, discoveries, sanctions, conflicts and corporate transactions; readers should verify current figures against primary sources before acting, and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser. Company tickers are given to identify operators, not to endorse them, and no position in any named company is implied. This report was prepared with AI assistance: figures were sourced from the agencies and companies cited above and reviewed for accuracy, but readers should independently verify any number they rely on. Past production and cost patterns are not a guarantee of future results.